Red Sox vs Blue Jays Picks, Odds & Starting Pitchers (July 2)

Odds as of July 1st at Bet365. Claim a Bet365 bonus code to bet on Sunday’s MLB action or see SBD’s Bet365 review. 

Boston vs Toronto Probable Pitchers

Garrett Whitlock continues to fight for a permanent spot in the Red Sox rotation, although his inconsistencies and tendency to give up the long ball makes him tough to count on. He allowed six runs and two homers in his last start and has given up nine long balls in nine appearances this year.

Exit Velocity • 103.4mph Distance • 395ft

— Marlins Home Runs (@MIA_Homers) June 28, 2023

Pitching has been a sore spot for the Bosox this season, as only four squads in the American League have a worse team ERA than Boston. Whitlock is one of four pitchers that has been in the rotation this campaign that owns an ERA above 5.00, not a stat that looks too pretty.

Whitlock vs Gausman Stats

No matter the MLB lineups he has to face, Gausman has been terrific for the Jays this season. He tops the American League in strikeouts and ranks seventh in ERA.

Over his last 10 starts, the righty has allowed more than three runs just once. However, he did have some issues with the Red Sox the only time he pitched against them this season. It was his worst outing of the year, as he allowed eight earned runs in his shortest appearance of the year.

Blue Jays a Terrible Straight-Up Bet vs AL East

Not to harp on this much more than we already have, but the Jays have proven to be a terrific team to bet against in the MLB odds when playing division opponents over the last couple of months. They have won just three of their last 20 against teams that reside in their division.

Blue Jays 2023 Record vs AL East Opponents

For the season, they are 7-19 against their own division while sporting a very impressive 38-20 mark against the rest of the league. It’s a trend that is becoming increasingly harder to ignore.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Picks

The last thing the Jays want to do is lose their seventh in a row to the only team in the division that currently has a worse record than they do. Especially coming off a heartbreaking finish in Saturday’s contest.

On the mound, the Blue Jays do have the decided edge, but keep in mind, Gausman got rocked in his previous start against Boston. For his career, he is 7-9 with a 4.48 ERA against the Red Sox.

At some point, the tide has to turn for the Blue Jays when facing the teams they see most often, Luckily for them, the MLB has changed its scheduling so that teams don’t meet division opponents quite as often.

Our prediction is to stick with the trend and bet against the Jays. Until they prove they can overcome, the AL East spell that seems to be cast on them, we can’t justify putting money on them, especially when there are plus odds to bet against them.

Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline (+167)