Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Picks, Odds

The Toronto Blue Jays look to silence the Boston Red Sox on Sunday to salvage a series that has gone sideways for the home squad. They turn to ace Kevin Gausman to get the job done. Will he have a better showing than his last outing vs. the BoSox?

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The Boston Red Sox will aim to complete the series sweep over the Toronto Blue Jays when the clubs wrap up a three-game set this afternoon at Rogers Centre.

Toronto comes into the contest as the big home favorite with Kevin Gausman on the mound, but a sleepy Boston offense has suddenly woken up, scoring 12 runs over the last two games.

Will Gausman help the hosts take the series finale or can Boston pull off the sweep? We’ll discuss in our Red Sox vs. Blue Jays MLB picks and predictions for Sunday, July 2.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays odds

Red Sox vs Blue Jays predictions

After cruising to a 5-0 win in the series opener on Friday, the Red Sox got homers from Rafael Devers and Justin Turner to spoil the Blue Jays’ Canada Day celebrations with a 7-6 victory on Saturday.

Boston had scored just 2.22 runs per game in the seven contests leading up to this series but the Red Sox seem to have their swagger back at the plate, recording 12 runs and five homers in the first two meetings against the Jays.

Can Toronto ace Kevin Gausman slow the Red Sox bats down? The Blue Jays starter was excellent in his last outing against the Giants on June 27, holding them to three hits and one earned run over six innings.

He had a couple of rough games in June — most notably allowing six earned runs over 4 2/3 innings to the Twins three weeks ago — but the right-hander has held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in eight of his last 10 appearances.

Gausman will be up against Garrett Whitlock, who was rocked for 11 hits and six earned runs in his last outing. He's also allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts. On paper, Gausman should be able to give his club the easy edge through five innings.

My best bet: Blue Jays first five innings moneyline (-204 at SIA)

Red Sox vs Blue Jays same-game parlay

Kevin Gausman 6+ strikeouts (-380)

Red Sox team total Under 4.5 (-210)

Justin Turner 1+ RBI (+170)

Gausman will headline our same-game parlay as we look for him to notch six strikeouts and help hold the Red Sox to four runs or less. The Jays starter had 12 punchouts in his last outing and has recorded at least six in seven of his last 10 outings. Gausman has 139 strikeouts in 104 2/3 innings this year — the second most in the majors.

While the Red Sox have averaged six runs per game in the first two meetings against the Blue Jays, Gausman will be the best arm they’ve faced so far this series. Assuming he gives Toronto at least six innings, the Jays should be in a good position to limit the damage today. But that doesn't mean he'll come away unscathed.

Finally, Turner will close out our same-game parlay as we look for the Red Sox slugger to notch an RBI. The designated hitter led the club with 22 RBI in 26 games in June — eight more than Devers, who ranked second. Turner had two RBI in each of the first two games of this series.

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Red Sox vs Blue Jays moneyline and Over/Under analysis

The Jays come into today’s contest as the huge home favorite, opening at -189 on the moneyline and going as high as -222 at some books by Sunday morning. Toronto had a big edge on Saturday as well, but you’ve got to think the hosts will be able to salvage one game against Boston with Gausman on the mound.

If there is an argument against Gausman today, it’s that his worst start of the season came against the Red Sox back on May 4 when he gave up 10 hits and eight earned runs over just 3 1/3 innings. Devers had a homer and four RBI in that game while Masataka Yoshida added a home run of his own to go with three RBI. However, Gausman has allowed more than three earned runs just once in 10 starts since that game, so I still like Toronto’s chances.

The total for this one opened at 8 runs and I’m going to lean on Gausman and take the Under. Whitlock has struggled, posting a 5.16 ERA through five starts in June, but he’ll be facing a Jays offense that hasn’t inspired much confidence, averaging just 2.80 runs per game over their last five contests.

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Trend to know

Toronto is 5-0 in Gausman’s last five starts following a team loss in its previous game. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Blue Jays

Red Sox vs Blue Jays game info

Starting pitchers

Garrett Whitlock (4-3, 5.15 ERA): Whitlock strung together a couple decent starts last month and gave the Red Sox some length by pitching into the seventh inning on three occasions, but the right-hander has had his fair share of struggles. He’s given up at least six hits in five straight starts and eight or more in his last two outings.

Kevin Gausman (7-4, 3.01 ERA): It’s been a bit up and down for Gausman of late as he’s held opponents to just one earned run in three of his last five games, but gave up a combined 15 hits and nine earned runs over just 10 2/3 innings in the other two starts. The right-hander has generally been consistent for the Jays, though, with his 3.01 ERA ranking 12th in the majors.