Red Sox vs Phillies Prediction, Best Bets, and Odds for 5/5
Tonight’s Red Sox vs Phillies matchup sees a team on a roll face off with a team on a slide. Boston (19-14) will be looking to extend its ongoing win streak to seven games, while Philadelphia (15-17) will be looking to end that win streak and its four-game losing streak with it.
The Phillies are currently closer to the first-place team in their division (seven games behind the 22-10 Atlanta Braves) than the Red Sox are to the first-place team in their division (7.5 games behind the 26-6 Tampa Bay Rays).
But it’s Boston with better vibes right now, as the boys from Beantown make the trip to the City of Brotherly Love after taking the last two in their series against the Cleveland Guardians and sweeping the Toronto Blue Jays in a four-game series at home.
Who will take tonight’s series opener at Citizens Bank Park? Read on for our Red Sox vs Phillies prediction, as well as our best bets for the matchup.
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Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Odds are via FanDuel as of Friday, May 5, 2023, at 5:55 am ET.
Moneyline
- Boston Red Sox +150
- Philadelphia Phillies -178
Over/Under
- Over 8 (-110)
- Under 8 (-110)
Run Line
- Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-142)
- Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-118)
Pitching Matchup for Red Sox vs Phillies
- Boston Red Sox: LHP Chris Sale (2-2, 6.75 ERA)
- Philadelphia Phillies: RHP Zack Wheeler (3-1, 3.86 ERA)
Will Boston’s Bats Stay Hot on the Road?
Entering this series, the Red Sox rank third in MLB in runs scored per game. They average 5.91 runs per game, which is behind only the Rays (6.56) and Rangers (6.37).
They have been plating runs both at home and on the road, which bodes well for their hopes of having a successful season if they can get serviceable pitching. At home, they average 6.2 runs per game (second in MLB), while they average 5.46 runs per game on the road (fifth in MLB).
Their current win streak has been fueled by offense, as they have scored at least six runs in each game and tallied 47 runs total.
Boston has scored five or more runs in five of the six games that Sale has started, and if they can make it six out of seven, the percentages heavily favor a seventh straight win.
The Red Sox have scored five or more runs 20 times this season, and when they have done so, they are 17-3 and have won logged 13 straight wins since a 9-7 loss at Tampa Bay on April 12. On the road, they are 5-1 when scoring five or more runs, with the lone loss being that loss at Tropicana Field.
They have a tough task to keep that going tonight though. Wheeler has won his last three starts, and he is coming off of his best start of the season. Last Saturday, he pitched six shutout innings (6 IP, 3 H, BB, 7 K) in a 6-1 win at Houston.
Sale is also coming off of an excellent start–6.1 IP, 3 H, R, 5 K, 0 BB in a win over Cleveland last Sunday–but he has allowed 14 runs and 20 hits in only 14 innings on the road in three starts thus far this season.
Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Best Bets
Prediction for Red Sox vs Phillies: Red Sox to win
Best Bets for Red Sox vs Phillies: Red Sox team total over 3.5 runs (Best Value: BetRivers)
This is a tough assignment for Boston, but I like the run that they are on right now and think it will continue tonight. They might not rack up 11 runs like they did in yesterday’s sweep-clinching win over the Blue Jays, but they have scored at least four runs in each of Sale’s starts this season.
Where to Bet on Red Sox vs Phillies
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