Renato Moicano vs Drew Dober Prediction

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Renato Moicano vs Drew Dober Prediction

Renato Moicano and Drew Dober face off on Saturday in the co-main event of UFC Fight Night 235 in a lightweight showdown. Let’s look at the betting matchup and give a free Renato Moicano vs Drew Dober prediction.

Renato Moicano vs Drew Dober Odds

Moicano is the favorite sitting at -185 while Drew Dober is the underdog sitting at +154. The total rounds sits at 1.5  with the over paying out at +100. 

Renato Moicano Betting Preview

Renato Moicano comes into this game with a 17-5-1 record overall and he has won three of his last four games. Moicano’s last fight came against Brad Riddell in November of 2022 and it was midway through the first round that he was able to win the fight by a rear naked choke. Each of his last three wins have come by rear naked choke. Moicano is averaging 4.75 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.07 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.66 successful takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 46 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 76 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

Drew Dober Betting Preview

On the other side of this fight is Drew Dober who comes into this fight witha 27-12 record overall and he has won four of his last fight fights. Dober’s last fight came against Ricky Glenn in October and in the first round he finished the fight by knockout. Two fights ago against Matt Frevola, he was knocked out. Dober is averaging 4.58 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.46 significant strikes per minute. He mostly wants to keep the fight on the feet and he is stopping 56 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. 

 Renato Moicano vs Drew Dober Betting Prediction 

Dober might be the underdog in this fight, but he’s going to find success here. The one big knock on Moicano is that he keeps his chin exposed a lot when he’s striking on the feet, and that is going to be the difference here. Dober is going to attack those opportunities when his chin is exposed, and that will be the difference here as he’s going to get the job done. Back Dober on the money line. 

Shane’s PickDrew Dober ML

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.