Sabres vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds and ATS Picks

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Sabres vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds and ATS Picks

The visiting Buffalo Sabres look to clinch the season series against division rival Toronto after putting up nine goals the last time the teams met. The Maple Leafs are among the best NHL bets today as the home favorite.

Buffalo has won three games in a row against Toronto, including the first two meetings this season. Two of those wins took place in Toronto. Just one of the last 11 games between the Sabres and the Maple Leafs finished under the total.

The NHL betting lines list the Maple Leafs at +135 in the odds to cover against the puck line as a 1½-goal favorite.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Game Information

  1. Game: Sabres (29-29-4) vs Maple Leafs (35-18-8)
  2. Date/Time: March. 6, 7 p.m. ET
  3. Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
  4. Sabres vs Maple Leafs Live Stream:NHL.com

Both teams have better records this season on the road than at home. Toronto is 6-3 at home since the start of February, while Buffalo has won four of its last five road games.

Toronto has won six of its last eight games as the home favorite but has covered against the puck line in three of those games even though the Maple Leafs have struggled to win versus Atlantic Division teams.

How do we expect this team to do anything in the playoffs if they can’t beat their own division.#LeafsForever

— Joseph Zita (@josephdzita) March 5, 2024

The Sabres have covered in each of their last five games as the road underdog.

Toronto is priced at -190 to win the game outright while the Sabres are +165 on the moneyline according to our NHL betting lines.

The Sabres and Maple Leafs meet on Wednesday at Scotiabank Arena. You can watch the game on TNT.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Odds and Spreads

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  1. The Maple Leafs are 27-20-6 as a favorite this season.
  2. Toronto has covered in only 10 of its 31 home games.
  3. Buffalo is 19-11 ATS on the road.
  4. The Sabres are 14-23-3 when listed as the underdog.
  5. Five of Toronto’s last seven games went over the total.
  6. Nineteen of the Maple Leafs’ 31 games at home landed over the total.
  7. The total has gone over in five of Buffalo’s last seven games.
  8. Each of the last five road games for the Sabres went under the total.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Over/Under Pick: Over 6½

Since the start of February, the Maple Leafs have led the NHL with an average of 4.1 goals per game while converting on 40% on the power play, also the best mark in the NHL. That is something to consider for NHL over/under predictions.

Don’t expect another 12-goal outburst as was the case the last time these teams met, but go with this game to finish over the total even if the total went under in each of Buffalo’s last seven games against Eastern Conference teams.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs ATS Pick: Maple Leafs -1½

The Sabres have won four of the last five road games against the Maple Leafs. However, with the way these teams are playing, it might be hard to expect that to continue when they meet on Wednesday.

Toronto has won nine of its last 11 games and is coming off a loss to division rival Boston at home, so expect the Maple Leafs to come out with something to prove.

Also, consider taking the Maple Leafs at -190 to win the game outright.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Player Prop Pick: Auston Matthews 2+ Goals

Auston Matthews leads the NHL with 53 goals despite scoring one over his last four games. Matthews has scored four times in the first two games against the Sabres this season. It could be a worthwhile option to go with Matthews at a price to have at least two goals when it comes to the NHL hockey bets today.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Prediction

Questions Of The Day

How have the Sabres fared in recent road games against the Toronto Maple Leafs?


The Buffalo Sabres have won four of their last five road games against the Maple Leafs.

What is a good player prop option for the Buffalo Sabres?


Dylan Cozens leads Buffalo with nine points over the last 13 games so take a look at the plus odds for Cozens to have at least one point in this game.