Sam Houston vs. Liberty Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 6

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03 October 2023

Sam Houston vs. Liberty Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 6

The Liberty Flames are undefeated heading into Thursday's home date against the winless SamHouston Bearkats as we make our Sam Houston-Liberty prediction basedon the bestcollege football odds.

Sam Houston nearly clinched its first win of the season last week but ended up enduring a 35-28 overtime loss to Jacksonville State. It marked the first occasion this season in which the Bearkats managed to score in double digits.

On the flip side, Liberty has showcased its dominance over adversaries. The Flames consistently average 40 points and 501 yards per game, securing victories with margins of at least 10 points in every match. Liberty has consistently outperformed its opponents, amassing an almost 200-yard advantage per game.

To help you round out your college football predictions for Week 6, here is our best Sam Houston vs. Liberty prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Sam Houston vs. Liberty prediction: Week 6

Liberty -18.5 (-109via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

: This spread has now moved to -21 at most of our best sports betting sites, and even -21.5 at BetMGM.

Howare the Bearkats going to keep up with the Flames? Liberty is allowing 18.5 points per game this season, while the Bearkats are averagingless than 10. Additionally, the Bearkats’ offense is averaging just 219.5 yardsper game. Both their points and yards per game are second-worst in college football.

Onthe other side, the Flames’ offense has looked phenomenal this season. Thecompetition hasn’t been stiff, but they’ve still put up video game-like numberson their way to convincing victories. Last week, they finally played a teamwith a record above .500 in FIU and put together a complete team performance ontheir way to a 38-6 win.

Anotherhuge advantage for the Flames is the turnover battle. They’re tied for thethird-best turnover margin in college football, while the Bearkats have anegative turnover margin and are tied for 95th. Flames’ quarterback KaidonSalter has 11 touchdown passes and just one interception this season.

Thisis a large spread that's part of our college football predictions for Week 6, especially when you consider that the Bearkats held AirForce and BYU to a combined 27 points. However, over the last two weeks, theBearkats’ defense has collapsed. The Flames should put up 30 in their fifthstraight game. If they do, there is very little chance the Bearkats scoreenough to cover.

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Sam Houston vs. Liberty best odds

DraftKingsis offering a slightly better price than all of our other best sports betting sites, soit's the place to wager. However, keep an eye on this game. With how bad theBearkats have been, there should be considerable movement as kickoffapproaches. We’d take this up to -20.5, especially if you can get a price of+100 or better.

Sam Houston vs. Liberty odds

TheFlames opened as 17.5-point favorites, and the spread has grown to 18.5. It’shard to imagine this spread moving in favor of the Bearkats at the best sports betting apps considering howthey’ve played this season. Don’t be surprised if this hits 20 before kickoff.

Thetotal opened at 45.5, and it has not moved. It’s hard to envision wherethis number is going to land. The Flames’ offense has been great, but theBearkats’ has been so bad that the Flames may need to do all of the scoringthemselves. If this moves at all, it won’t be more than one point in eitherdirection.