Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

The Milwaukee Brewers (10-5) close out their 4-game road series against the San Diego Padres (8-8) Sunday. First pitch from Petco Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-1

The Brewers dropped Saturday’s game 10-3 after winning the first 2 games of the series. Padres IF Jake Cronenworth homered twice, including a 2-run shot in the 5th inning to break a 3-3 tie. The Brewers are 3-3 part way through a 10-game road trip.

The Padres snapped a 3-game skid with the win. They are 2-4 in the last 6 games.

Brewers at Padres projected starters

LHP Wade Miley vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Miley (1-1, 2.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3 BB and 6 K through 11 IP.

• Picked up his 100th career win in his 1st start of the year
• Career vs. San Diego: 1-6 with 5.28 ERA across 15 starts

Darvish (0-1, 4.76 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 5 BB and 8 K through 11 1/3 IP.

• The Padres has lost both of his starts this season
• Allowed 5 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 6 1/3 IP in last start at the New York Mets Monday

Brewers at Padres odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

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Brewers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Brewers 2

The Padres have not yet lost a series at home and the Brewers have not yet won a series on the road.

After a rough outing in his last start, expect Darvish to see results closer to his first outing.

But at -175, it is a little rich to bet the Padres.

PASS.

Six of the Padres’ 8 wins have been by more than 1 run.

All of the Brewers’ losses have been by more than 1 run.

BET PADRES -1.5 (+120).

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The Under is 4-0 in Padres’ last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Only 3 of the Brewers’ last 9 games have had 9 or more total runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

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