San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 7-25-23 MLB Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the San Diego Padres meet Tuesday in MLB action from Petco Park. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. In the Monday opener, the Pirates kicked things off with a four-run victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

Pittsburgh Pirates 

The Pirates took on the Angels over the weekend and stumbled with two losses in three games. On Monday versus the Padres Pittsburgh scored three times in both the third and fifth innings in an 8-4 win. Carlos Santana posted two homers, four RBI and three hits, and Liover Peguero had three RBI. 

In the starter role for the Pirates on Tuesday it’ll be Rich Hill. Over 20 starts so far this year Hill is 7-9 with a 4.84 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 109.2 innings. Hill is coming off four earned in 5.2 innings versus the Guardians. 

San Diego Padres 

Over on the Padres’ side, they won a series versus the Tigers over the weekend with victories 5-4 Friday and 14-3 Saturday. On Monday versus Pittsburgh the Padres were out-hit 13-6 in the loss. San Diego got two homers and three RBI from Kim Ha-seong. Manny Machado also went 1-for-4. 

Blake Snell will take the starter role for the Padres on Tuesday. Over his 20 starts this year Snell is 6-8 with a 2.67 ERA and 143 Ks in 108.0 innings. Snell took a tough-luck loss to the Blue Jays in his last start, going 5.0 innings with just one earned run. 

San Diego Padres Team Facts

• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Pirates and Padres.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have won the first inning in each of their last three games against National League opponents.
• The Padres have trailed after 7 innings in five of their last six games as favourites against NL Central opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last three games against National League opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

• The Pirates have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Padres.
• The Pirates have covered the run line each of their last five games at Petco Park against teams that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against the Padres.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have led after 7 innings in four of their last six games as road underdogs.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.417) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Andrew McCutchen ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.384) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The San Diego Padres ranks 1st in the league for walks this season (422).
• The San Diego Padres ranks 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (410).
• The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 26th in the league for home runs this season (94).
• The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks T6th in the league for steals this season (83).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I’m staying with the Padres. The line’s too thick to mess with, though. Snell is on a nice run these days. He’s got just the one earned run in his last three starts combined on 16.0 innings, nine hits and 13 walks. The free passes got a bit high in his last start (seven) but Snell should be good for a quality outing here. On Monday the Padres had a pretty rough offensive outing. That makes four or more runs in three of the last four games however, so San Diego seems primed for an offensive comeback. I like San Diego to even up the series in game two.