Seattle Mariners at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

The Seattle Mariners (21-23) and Atlanta Braves (28-16) meet Saturday for the 2nd of a 3-game series. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

Seattle lost 6-2 as +132 road underdogs Friday. Atlanta jumped out to an early 1-0 lead, but Seattle fought back to take a 2-1 lead in the 7th inning. Atlanta then regained the lead later that inning before finishing out the game with a win.

Seattle is now on a 3-game losing streak and are 1-4 in their last 5 games overall. Atlanta has now won back-to-back games and sit at 3-2 in their last 5 games. Seattle is 11-11 on the road, and Atlanta is 11-9 at home.

Mariners at Braves projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Jesse Chavez

Gilbert (1-2, 3.91 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 46 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K, in a 5-3 road loss Sunday vs. Detroit Tigers
• First career start vs. Atlanta

Chavez (0-0, 2.50 ERA) makes his 1st start and 22nd appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 18 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 1 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 2 K, in a 6-5 road win Wednesday; threw 22 pitches
• Career vs. Seattle: 3-7 with a 5.63 ERA (78 1/3 IP, 49 ER), 96 H, 10 HR, 31 BB, 68 K across 36 appearances (11 starts)

Mariners at Braves odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

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Mariners at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Braves 4

LEAN MARINERS (+120). 

Seattle is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta and 8-3 in the last 11 meetings overall. The Mariners are also 5-0 in Gilbert’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. In their last 4 games vs. an opponent that allowed 2 or less runs in their previous games the Mariners are 4-0. The Braves are also using an opener in what figures to be a bullpen game.

PASS.

Seattle +1.5 (-160) should hit but is a bit too risky of a line to bet on for this game. Instead bet on either the moneyline or the O/U.

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BET OVER 9 (-110). 

For Atlanta the Over is 5-1 in their last 6 when the opponent scored 2 or less runs in their previous outing and is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 2 or less runs in their previous game. For Seattle the Over 4-0 in Gilbert’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. The Over is also 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings overall.

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