Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

The Boston Red Sox (56-50) and Seattle Mariners (55-51) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 2-2

The Red Sox dropped the opener 6-2 Monday for their 3rd consecutive loss. Boston has been playing streaky baseball, winners of 5 in a row prior to this skid but dropping 3 in a row before that win streak. The Sox are in 4th place in the AL East, 9 games back of the Baltimore Orioles for the division lead and 2 1/2 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot.

The Mariners have won 2 games in a row and 5 out of their last 6. Seattle is in 4th place in the AL West, 5 games behind the Texas Rangers and 3 1/2 games out of the final AL Wild Card.

Red Sox at Mariners projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Bello (7-6, 3.66 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 96 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-3 home win over Atlanta Braves Wednesday
• The Red Sox are 3-1 in Bello’s last 4 starts and 11-6 overall when he takes the mound

Miller (7-3, 3.96 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 75 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 8-7 road win over Minnesota Twins Wednesday
• Allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 6 of last 7 outings

Res Sox at Mariners odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

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Red Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Red Sox 3

The Mariners have won 5 of their last 6 games and 8 of their last 11. They are 6-3 in their last 9 home games and 3-0 in Miller’s last 3 starts.

The Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

BET MARINERS (-120).

As tempting as taking the Mariners -1.5 (+170), 4 of Boston’s last 5 losses have been by only 1 run.

Four of the Mariners’ last 7 wins have been by 1 run.

PASS.

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Seven of the Mariners’ last 11 games have had 7 or fewer total runs.

Three of Boston’s last 4 games have stayed below 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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