Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

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The Minnesota Twins (49-47) and Seattle Mariners (47-47) meet Wednesday for game 3 of a 4-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Minnesota won 10-3 as +111 road underdogs to tie the series at 1 a-piece Tuesday. Both teams had a busy 1st inning as the Twins scored twice in the top of the innings and the Mariners scored 3 in the bottom half before the Twins took control.

The AL Central-leading Twins have now won 4 of their last 5 and are 9-5 in their last 14 games. The Mariners are also 9-5 in their last 14 overall, but are only 2-3 in their last 5. Minnesota sits at 23-25 on the road while Seattle is 26-23 at home on the year.

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Kenta Maeda vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Maeda (2-5, 5.50 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 36 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 5-4 road win Friday vs. the Oakland Athletics
• 1 career start vs. Seattle: 0-0, 2.25 ERA (4 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K

Castillo (6-7, 2.96 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 112 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 home loss Friday vs. the Detroit Tigers
• Career vs. Minnesota: 1-1, 8.18 ERA (11 IP, 10 ER), 18 H, 3 BB, 11 K in 3 starts

Twins at Mariners odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Mariners 4

LEAN TWINS (+135).

Both teams are 3-2 in each of their starting pitcher’s last 5 games overall. The Twins have a 6-4 edge in the last 10 matchups and I like that they have won  Maeda’s last 2 starts, which gives them the slight edge here.

PASS. 

I like the Twins to cover here but at +1.5 (-155) the line is not worth the juice, bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Over is 7-2-1 in Minnesota’s last 10 overall and 2-0 in each of Maeda’s last 2 starts. For Seattle, the Over is 4-0 in Castillo’s last 4 starts overall and 3-0 in each of his last 3 starts vs. Minnesota. And the Over is also 2-0 in the last 2 meetings.

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