Spain vs. England Picks, Predictions & Women's World Cup Odds: Is Football Coming Home with Lionesses?

sportsbookreview.com

17 August 2023

England and Spain will face off in the Women’s World Cup final on Sunday, and both teams have proven to be consistent scorers throughout the tournament. Read on for our Spain-England picks based on the Women's World Cup odds from our best World Cup betting sites.

Neither Spain nor England have ever reached the FIFA Women’s World Cup final previously. Spain had only won one of their seven World Cup matches before this tournament (drawing two and losing four). England had qualified for the previous two World Cup semifinals, but they were beaten 2-1 on each occasion.

Spain looked to be heading for a 1-0 win and into the final four at the 2022 Women’s Euros quarterfinals before Ella Toone equalized for the Lionesses with four minutes remaining. Georgia Stanway sealed a remarkable England win with a strike six minutes into extra-time. Will revenge be in the air now for La Roja?

Here is our best Spain-England pick for the Women's World Cup (odds via our best sports betting apps; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Spain vs. England pick

Both teams to score - yes (+110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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England ranked No. 4 in the world and Spain sat sixth heading into this tournament. No team has scored more goals than Spain (17) during this World Cup. England (13) are the tournament’s third-highest scorers.

Both finalists boast a plus-10 goal differential. England are unbeaten in all 19 games at the FIFA Women’s World Cup in which they’ve opened the scoring (winning 17 and drawing two), including taking each of the last 13 when scoring first.

The Lionesses are also unbeaten overall in seven matches across all competitions and have conceded just three goals throughout this tournament. Meanwhile, Spain lost 4-0 to Japan during the final matchday of the group stage. They've allowed seven goals at this World Cup, but the team has scored in every game since that defeat to Japan.

Spain’s Teresa Abelleira, who assisted on the winning goal in the semifinal, has created 23 chances at this tournament. Only Japan's Aya Miyama in 2015 (25) created more during a single edition of the event.

With her semifinal goal, Ella Toone became the first England player (including the men’s and women’s teams) to score in a quarterfinal, semifinal, and final of major international tournaments (FIFA Women’s World Cup and UEFA European Championships).

Spain have won five and lost one during their last six matches across all competitions. They scored 17 and conceded seven over that stretch, scoring first in five of the six contests. Most of their goals (nine) came in the first half, while their opponents netted four times in the first 45 minutes.

Seven of England’s goals came in the first half, and their opponents tallied once before the break in their last six games.

Spain vs. England best odds

Caesars +110

The stats suggest there will be goals in this final, as both teams have proven capable of scoring. Even when the chips are down these sides find a way to bounce back, as the equalizers in the semifinals showed. That desire for victory is what we’re betting on in this match.

Spain are the slight favorites to win at +160 through FanDuel, and England are +180 at the same book. FanDuel is listing Spain at -118 to lift the cup, and England are at +100.

Despite Spain’s 4-0 defeat to Japan during their final group match, neither they nor the Lionesses have looked ready to fold. It appears increasingly likely that both teams will score.

Spain boast the highest expected goals of all the World Cup semifinalists (18.3), and England’s is the lowest (10). No player has registered more shots on target than England’s Alessia Russo (12), while Spain’s Alba Redondo has produced the highest non-penalty expected goals of the tournament (4.3).

DraftKings’ odds are distinctly shorter than all our other main books, offering -110 compared to the +110 being priced through Caesars.