St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

The St. Louis Cardinals (28-43) and New York Mets (33-37) close out their 3-game series Sunday in the Big Apple. First pitch at Citi Field is at 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Mets and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Paul Goldschmidt‘s 2-run HR helped the Cardinals snap their 6-game losing streak on Saturday with a 5-3 win against the Mets. Despite the victory, the Cardinals are still 6-14 over the last 20 games. St. Louis can end their series losing streak at 5 with a win on Sunday.

The Mets continue to disappoint New York fans, winning just 3 of their last 13 games. They have allowed over 5 runs per game over that stretch. New York has is 17-14 at home, but only 4-10 against NL Central teams.

Cardinals at Mets projected starters

LHP Matthew Liberatore vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Liberatore (1-2, 5.14 ERA) will make his 5th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 21 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 5 K in a 4-3 home loss vs. San Francisco Giants Monday
• 2023 away splits: 0-2, 8.00 ERA (9 IP, 8 ER), .308 OBA in 2 starts
• First start against the Mets

Carrasco (2-3, 5.71 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 in 41 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 1 K in a 2-1 road loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates last Sunday
• Last start vs Cardinals: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 9 H, 8 ER, 2 BB, 3 K in a 10-5 road loss on April 27, 2022
• 2023 home splits: 1-1, 6.89 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 12 ER), .279 OBA in 3 starts

Cardinals at Mets odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 a.m. ET.

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Cardinals at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Mets 5

Cardinals (-105) is my lean, but I do not see a clear favorite in this game. The Mets have a record of 8-16 against lefties, but the smart thing to do is stay away from this bet completely. PASS.

AVOID.

My lean is to take the Cardinals -1.5 (+155), but I doubt they will win by multiple runs.

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OVER 9.5 (-105).

We’ve got 2 starting pitchers with ERA over 5 on the season and even worse home and away splits. New York is allowing more than 5 runs per game over their last 13 while the Cardinals are letting their opponents produce more than 6 runs per game over their last 7.

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