Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Sportsbook Wire

08 July 2023

The Baltimore Orioles (52-35) and Minnesota Twins (45-44) play game 2 of a 3-game series in the Twin City Saturday. First pitch at Target Field is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Twins and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Orioles took Friday’s opener 3-1 in 10 innings for their 3rd consecutive win.1B/3B Ramon Urias hit a go-ahead RBI double in the top of the 10th and scored on pinch-hitter RF Aaron Hicks‘ sacrifice fly for the extra-inning runs.

The O’s are 3-2 on their current 7-game road trip after dropping the first 2 games of a 4-game series at the New York Yankees. Baltimore is averaging 6 runs per game over its last 5 games. The Orioles are 16-7 against the AL Central this season.

The Twins ended a 3-game win streak with Friday’s defeat. While Minnesota is 26-20 at Target Field this season, it’s just 12-15 against the AL East.

Orioles at Twins projected starters

RHP Tyler Wells vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Wells (6-4, 3.19 ERA) makes his 17th start and 18th appearance. He has an MLB-best 0.90 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 98 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-3 loss at Yankees Monday
2023 away splits: 2-1, 4.01 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 8.4 K/9,.185 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 appearances (7 starts)

Gray (4-2, 2.50 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 93 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 2-1 loss at Orioles Sunday
2023 home splits: 3-1, 2.29 ERA (51 IP, 13 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 10.2 K/9, .232 OBA in 9 starts

Orioles at Twins odds

FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:16 a.m. ET.

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Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 3, Twins 2

LEAN ORIOLES (+108) to win because they are the better team. However, with AL All-Star Gray on the hill for the Twins, there is no clear favorite in this matchup.

But when I have an opportunity to take the better team getting plus odds I’ll always lean that way.

AVOID.

I’d love to take the Orioles +1.5 (-192), but I’m not going to pay 1.92 units to win 1 when it isn’t even a sure thing. STAY AWAY from this one.

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BET UNDER 8.5 (-122).

Expect this game to be a pitching duel. Both pitchers sport ERAs lower than 3.20. Wells hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of his last 7 starts — he has a 2.81 ERA in that span.

Gray’s 2.50 ERA ranks 3rd in the league, and he hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in any start this season.

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