Thunder vs. Wizards Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

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Thunder vs. Wizards Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Washington Wizards (6-29) will look to break a four-game losing streak when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (23-11) on Monday, January 8, 2024 at Capital One Arena as big, 11.5-point underdogs. The game airs at 7:00 PM ET on MNMT. The over/under is set at 244.5 in the matchup.

Thunder vs. Wizards Odds

  • Thunder odds to win: -650
  • Wizards odds to win: +470
  • Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
  • Total: 244.5
  • How to Bet on Thunder vs. Wizards

    Game Time and Information

  • When: Monday, January 8, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
  • TV: MNMT
  • Who Will Win Thunder vs. Wizards?

    Thunder and Wizards Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    The Thunder are a perfect 1-0 against the spread when favored by 11.5 points or more this season.

    The Wizards are 3-1 against the spread when an underdog by 11.5 points or more this year.

    The two teams average a combined 7.6 fewer points per game (236.9) than this matchup’s over/under of 244.5 points.

    Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 240.3 points per game, 4.2 fewer than the point total for this matchup.

    The average point total in Thunder games this year is 8.5 fewer points than the total of 244.5 in this matchup.

    The average point total for Washington this season is 3.3 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

    Oklahoma City is 23-10-1 against the spread this season.

    So far this season, the Wizards have put together a 16-19-0 record against the spread.

    Thunder Stats & Insights

    The Thunder have a +257 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.6 points per game. They’re putting up 121.8 points per game to rank fourth in the league and are giving up 114.2 per outing to rank 15th in the NBA.

    The Thunder are 28th in the league at 40.7 rebounds per game. That’s 5.1 fewer than the 45.8 their opponents average.

    Oklahoma City makes 13.2 three-pointers per game (ninth-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.8. It shoots 39.4% from deep while its opponents hit 35.8% from long range.

    The Thunder average 121.6 points per 100 possessions (fourth in the league), while allowing 114.1 points per 100 possessions (eighth in the NBA).

    In the 2023-24 season, the Thunder are scoring 6.0 more points per home game on average than on the road (124.4 at home, 118.4 on the road), and are also allowing 4.5 more points per home game compared to road games (116.2 at home, 111.7 on the road).

    Wizards Stats & Insights

    The Wizards have been outscored by 11.0 points per game (posting 115.1 points per game, 15th in league, while giving up 126.1 per outing, 30th in NBA) and have a -382 scoring differential.

    The 39.3 rebounds per game Washington accumulates rank 30th in the NBA, 10.6 fewer than the 49.9 its opponents record.

    The Wizards connect on 12.4 three-pointers per game (19th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.4. They shoot 35.3% from deep, and their opponents shoot 38.2%.

    The Wizards rank 25th in the NBA with 112.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 30th defensively with 122.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

    At home Washington is scoring 115.8 points per game, 1.1 more than it is averaging on the road (114.7).

    Thunder Key Players to Watch

    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is one of the Thunder’s key players terms of both scoring and assists, recording 31.5 points and distributing 6.4 assists on average.

    Chet Holmgren contributes with 7.4 boards and 2.6 assists per game in addition to his 17.4 PPG scoring average.

    Isaiah Joe leads active Thunder in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.

    Gilgeous-Alexander averages 2.4 steals per game, while Holmgren has 2.6 blocks per contest.

    Wizards Key Players to Watch

    Kyle Kuzma puts up 22.6 points per game and also tacks on 5.8 rebounds and 4.1 assists per contest.

    This season, Daniel Gafford has a statline that includes 10.5 points, 1.6 assists and 7.6 rebounds per game.

    Kuzma cashes in on 2.5 treys per game.

    The Wizards’ defensive effort gets a lift from Tyus Jones’ 1.1 steals and Gafford’s 2.1 blocks per game.

  • Pick ATS: Thunder (- 11.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (244.5)

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 126 – Wizards 112
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