Toyota/Save Mart 350 predictions, picks, odds for NASCAR at Sonoma, 6/11
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The NASCAR Cup Series rolls on this weekend at Sonoma Raceway with the Toyota/Save Mart 350 this Sunday. Believe it or not, it’s already the 16th race of the 2023 season. It takes place at 3:30 PM ET and will be aired on FOX. It’s also quite a unique race in comparison to other races in the NASCAR Cup Series, so we’re here to help break it all down.
Our experts provided their Enjoy Illinois 300 prediction in this article for last Sunday, and our Toyota/Save Mart 350 predictions are below with odds brought to you by DraftKings Sportsbook.
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One of the first things to analyze before making our Toyota/Save Mart 350 predictions is the track itself. Before we get into why it’s a unique track, let’s first simply discuss the location. As the name would suggest, it’s located in Sonoma, California, which is about an hour north of San Francisco. It’s also worth noting that it was once named Sears Point Raceway.
So, we mentioned that Sonoma Raceway was a unique track, which plays a major factor in making Toyota/Save Mart 350 predictions. Right off the bat, you’ll notice that a very specific set of drivers are listed as the favorites.
That’s because this Sunday will be one of the few road courses in the NASCAR Cup Series. It is a rather hilly course that features significant elevation change at 160 feet in total. Another key aspect of Sonoma Raceway is its 12 turns. So, when making our Toyota/Save Mart 350 predictions, we’re focused on a driver with plenty of prior success at this individual track.
Our Toyota/Save Mart 350 predictions are focused on a great Sunday for Martin Truex Jr. Firstly, he’s won the Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway in two of the last four years. That makes it rather surprising to see him so far down the list in terms of the outright winner market.
While we certainly wouldn’t fault anyone for taking a long shot in that regard, we’re still getting incredible value on Truex Jr. to simply finish inside the top five. That’s not asking a lot from such a consistent driver, as he just finished fifth last Sunday in the Enjoy Illinois 300. In fact, he finished third just the race prior - the Coca-Cola 600 - which is the longest race of the season.
In total, Truex Jr. has four top-five finishes this season to go along with seven top-10′s and an outright win. That has him fifth in the NASCAR Cup Series standings as well. As a Toyota driver himself, he would love nothing more than to win his third Toyota/Save Mart 350 in the last five years.
With all that in mind, the best bet from our Toyota/Save Mart 350 predictions is on Truex Jr. to finish within the top five on Sunday (+380 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
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In terms of our Toyota/Save Mart 350 predictions, Truex Jr. to finish inside the top five comes with a +380 price at DraftKings Sportsbook, so a $10 bet profits $38 as long as he indeed finishes within the top five drivers. If you prefer to outright winner market, we have those odds listed for you below:
- Tyler Reddick: +450
- Kyle Larson: +500
- Chase Elliott: +500
- William Byron: +850
- Ross Chastain: +900
- Kyle Busch: +900
- Daniel Suarez: +1600
- A.J. Allmendinger: +1600
- Austin Cindric: +1800
- Chris Buescher: +2000
- Kevin Harvick: +2500
- Christopher Bell: +2500
- Alex Bowman: +2800
- Martin Truex Jr.: +3000
We mentioned that Truex Jr. has had great success at Sonoma Raceway, so we’ve provided the list of recent winners here:
- 2022: Daniel Suarez
- 2021: Kyle Larson
- 2019: Martin Truex Jr.
- 2018: Martin Truex Jr.
- 2017: Kevin Harvick
- 2016: Tony Stewart
- 2015: Kyle Busch
- 2014: Carl Edwards
- 2013: Martin Truex Jr.
- 2012: Clint Bowyer
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