NFL Player Props Week 9: Predictions, Picks for Sunday

Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker shares his top NFL player props for Week 9. We always search for the best NFL odds from our top NFL prop betting sites when making our NFL picks.

It was another profitable run for our NFL player props in Week 8, and we’re riding an 18-6 heater for 10.73 units over the past six weeks.

The Week 9 Sunday schedule is packed with must-watch games, beginning with the Miami Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs in Germany.

To accompany our NFL Week 9 predictions and NFL best bets, here are our best NFL player props for Week 9 (odds via ourbest NFL betting sites; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

NFL player props for Week 9

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NFL player props for Week 9: Sunday

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 16.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

With four of his 12 receptions this season going for at least 20 yards, Valdes-Scantling can clear this total with a single catch. He’s pacing the Kansas City Chiefs wide receivers in offensive snap percentage and has been more involved in the offense the past two weeks with five receptions for 111 yards on nine targets.

I’m anticipating the Miami Dolphins focusing on KC tight end Travis Kelce, and Valdes-Scantling breaking open for at least one chunk play downfield. And, that’s all it will take for this prop to cash.

I have the second-year Chief projected for 22.1 receiving yards and would price the Over at -143. Based on my numbers, we’re landing a positive expected value of 13% compared to the -110 bet365 price.

NFL player props for Week 9: Monday Night Football

Breece Hall Over 56.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

The Los Angeles Chargers are an average run defense at best, and Hall is coming off consecutive underwhelming showings with a total of just 56 rushing yards on 24 totes against the Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants.

The New York Jets offensive line takes a lot of heat, and quarterback Zach Wilson remains a work in progress. Still, Hall is explosive. The OLine also grades well above average in run blocking per PFF, and checks out with the 15th-highest run-block win rate per ESPN.

I have Hall projected for 66.7 rushing yards, so I’d price this Over at -146 to present a positive expected value of 13% on the -110 bet365 price.

This total has climbed leading into Thursday, so I’m not as confident in this bet as I was when there was a 48.5 available.

I have Pickens projected for 59.1 receiving yards and would price the Over 52.5 at -134. The difference in my numbers and the -110 bet365 odds is a positive expected value of 9%.

The Tennessee secondary is the defense's weakness, and the Titans allowed two Atlanta wide receivers to top this total in Week 8. Tennessee also traded its best defensive back, Kevin Byard, to the Philadelphia Eagles on Oct. 23, and it ranks 25th in pass defense DVOA, 26th in dropback EPA allowed, and 27th in dropback success rate.

I also value Pittsburgh quarterback Kenny Pickett being confirmed as the Week 9 starter.

NFL betting odds pages

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