Twins vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Minnesota Twins (54-53) and St. Louis Cardinals (47-60) square off on Tuesday at 7:45 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Busch Stadium.

The Cardinals play as a home underdog (+100) versus the Twins (-119). The over/under for this game is 8.5.

The insights in what follows reflect odds as of August 1, 2023 at 7:16 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Twins vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have won 41 out of the 69 games, or 59.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Minnesota has a record of 38-26 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -119 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 54.3% chance to win.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 50 of its 107 chances.
• The Twins have an ATS record of 49-58-0 in 107 games with a spread this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Cardinals Betting Insights

• The Cardinals have come away with 21 wins in the 46 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, St. Louis has won 15 of 32 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of its 106 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 106 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 50-56-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez

• Lopez and his team have a record of 8-13-0 against the spread when he starts.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in seven innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday.
• Lopez will look to finish five or more innings for the 13th start in a row.
• In 21 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
• Lopez’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-5.
• Lopez’s team has won 11 of his 21 starts.
• Games started by Lopez have an 11-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Miles Mikolas

• Mikolas (6-6 with a 4.38 ERA and 87 strikeouts in 127 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cardinals, his 24th of the season.
• In his most recent time out on Thursday, the right-hander threw two-thirds of an inning against the Chicago Cubs, giving up one earned run without surrendering a hit.
• Mikolas has put together 19 starts this campaign that he pitched five or more innings.
• He has made five appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
• The Cardinals are 3-4 in Mikolas’ seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Mikolas’ team has a 10-13 record over his 23 starts.
• Mikolas has had 22 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and 13 of those games finished over the total.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Twins Hitting Trends

• The Twins have hit two or more home runs in 52 games this season, and are 41-11 in those outings.
• Minnesota has collected at least five extra-base hits in 36 games this season, and has gone 30-6 in those outings.
• The team has racked up eight or more hits in 66 games this season, and is 49-17 in those contests.
• Minnesota is 51-9 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Twins have drawn five or more walks in 35 games this season, and are 23-12 in those contests.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

• They are 34-19 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• St. Louis has won 27 of its 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• They have won 46 of the 73 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
• In 53 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 41-12.
• In 33 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-19

Twins vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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