Rays vs. Twins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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Rays vs. Twins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The AL Central-leading Minnesota Twins (31-29) visit the AL East-leading Tampa Bay Rays (43-19) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

The favored Rays (-179 on the moneyline) host the Twins (+149). The contest has an over/under of 8.

The betting facts in the following article reflect odds as of June 6, 2023 at 1:12 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Rays vs Twins Betting Lines

Rays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rays have won 39 out of the 54 games, or 72.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Tampa Bay has entered 26 games this season favored by -179 or more and is 23-3 in those contests.
  • The Rays have a 64.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of its 62 games with a total this season.
  • The Rays are 37-25-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have been victorious in seven, or 31.8%, of the 22 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Minnesota has not lost in three games this year when given odds of +149 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 40.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over in 25 of its 60 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 60 games with a line this season, the Twins have a mark of 28-32-0 against the spread.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin

  • Eflin’s team is 5-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in six innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday.
  • Eflin will look to finish five or more innings for the 11th start in a row.
  • Eflin’s team has won 90% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-1).
  • Eflin’s team has won nine of his 10 starts.
  • Games Eflin has started this season hit the over five times in 10 chances.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Twins Probable Pitcher – Louie Varland

  • The Twins are sending Varland (3-1) to make his eighth start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 41 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Thursday against the Houston Astros, when he threw seven scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • Varland will aim to last five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 5.9 innings per outing.
  • The Twins have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Varland’s starts this season, and they went 3-2 in those games.
  • In Varland’s seven starts, his team is 4-3.
  • Varland has started seven contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in three of them.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays are 25-9 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 20-2 in its 22 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 34-19 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
  • Tampa Bay has a 34-14 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Rays have drawn five or more walks in 19 games this season, and are 16-3 in those contests.

Twins Hitting Trends

  • They have won 28 of the 33 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Minnesota has collected five or more extra-base hits in 20 games this season and won each of them.
  • They have a record of 33-8 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Minnesota has a 34-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 15 of their 24 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Rays vs. Twins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-179)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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