Twins vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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Twins vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Minnesota Twins (44-43) have a 2-0 series lead, hoping to sweep the Kansas City Royals (25-61) on Wednesday at Target Field, at 7:40 PM ET.

The Royals are an underdog (+214 on the moneyline) when they take on the Twins (-259). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.

The insights in the article below reflect odds as of July 5, 2023 at 9:13 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Twins vs Royals Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won 33, or 62.3%, of the 53 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season Minnesota has won two of its four games when favored by at least -259 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.1% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of its 87 games with a total this season.
  • The Twins are 42-45-0 ATS in their 87 games with a spread this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 73 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (30.1%) in those games.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious two times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +214 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 31.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 41 of its 86 opportunities.
  • The Royals are 34-52-0 against the spread in their 86 games that had a posted line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez

  • When Lopez starts, his team is 6-11-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in six innings pitched against the Baltimore Orioles on Friday.
  • Lopez will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
  • He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 17 chances this season.
  • Lopez’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-4.
  • Lopez’s team is 9-8 when he starts this season.
  • Games Lopez has started this season hit the over nine times in 17 chances.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Royals Probable Pitcher – Alec Marsh

  • Marsh (0-1) gets the starting nod for the Royals, his second this season.
  • In his last time out on Saturday, the right-hander tossed four innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, allowing five earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • The Royals were the moneyline underdog for one Marsh start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Marsh’s lone start with a total this season went over.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins have hit at least two round-trippers in 42 games this season, and are 34-8 in those contests.
  • Minnesota has gone 25-1 in its 26 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has notched at least eight hits in 52 games this season, and is 41-11 in those contests.
  • Minnesota is 42-4 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Twins are 16-11 over the 27 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 19 games this season and are 6-13 in those matchups.
  • Kansas City has gone 8-11 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 18-32 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 26 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 16-10.
  • They have won three of their 13 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Twins vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-259)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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