UFC 289: Dan Ige vs. Nate Landwehr odds, picks and predictions

In a featherweight bout on the main card, Dan Ige and Nate Landwehr meet Saturday at UFC 289 at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 289: Ige vs. Landwehr odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 7 p.m., prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET, with the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

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Ige halted a 3-bout losing streak, all via unanimous decision, with a 2nd-round KO/TKO against Damon Jackson last time out in mid-January. He hasn’t picked up consecutive victories since winning 6 in a row from June 2018 to May 2020. Ige has gone the distance in 7 of his past 9 fights.

Landwehr takes the walk on a 3-bout win streak, including a pair of submission victories over Austin Lingo and Ludovit Klein. Sandwiched between those victories was a majority decision win over David Onama in mid-Aug. 2022.

Landwehr has a 2-inch height and 1-inch reach advantage, and he also has an impressive 6.47-to-3.80 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Landwehr is more accurate too, landing 52.51% of those strikes compared to just 50.26% for Ige.

As far as the ground game is concerned, it’s advantage Landwehr too. “The Train” has a slight takedown average lead (1.36-to-1.25), but a huge 62.5% takedown accuracy percentage compared to just 26.79% for Ige. Landwehr holds the 1.36 submission average lead, too, with Ige posting just 0.33.

UFC 289: Ige vs. Landwehr odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:44 a.m. ET.

UFC 289: Ige vs. Landwehr picks and predictions

Records: Ige (16-6-0) | Landwehr (17-4-0)

LANDWEHR (+200) is a tremendous value as a live ‘dog, giving bettors a chance to double up.

Statistically, the underdog holds all of the major advantages, and the only area Ige has an advantage is being 4 years younger.

Landwehr has been the hotter fighter, too, posting 3 straight wins, and a pair of submissions during the run. However, like the Onama fight, I think LANDWEHR ON POINTS (+475) is the result, and worth playing lightly.

YES (+110): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a tremendous value at plus money.

I think Landwehr gets it done, but if you don’t want to take a chance on the underdog, and simply want some action on the fight, this is a great play. Landwehr has ended up going the distance in 2 of his past 5 UFC fights, while Ige has needed the help of the judges to determine a winner in 7 of his past 9 outings.