UFC Fight Night 226: Fiorot vs. Namajunas odds, picks and predictions

In a 3-round women’s flyweight bout on the main card, Manon Fiorot and Rose Namajunas meet at UFC Fight Night 226 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 84 and UFC Paris — at Accor Arena in Paris on Saturday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 226: Fiorot vs. Namajunas odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

Records: Fiorot (10-1-0) | Namajunas (12-5-0)

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 12:30 p.m. ET, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Fiorot takes the walk to the octagon looking to stay perfect at the UFC level. Since her company debut on Jan. 20, 2021, “The Beast” has won 5 straight bouts, including 3 consecutive unanimous-decision victories. The opponents haven’t been slouches, either, as Fiorot has stopped veterans Katlyn Chookagian, Jennifer Maia and Mayra Bueno Silva in the past 3 outings.

Namajunas makes her debut at 125 pounds. The 31-year-old last fought at UFC 274, falling to Carla Esparza via split-decision in May 2022 to lose her women’s strawweight title. In an odd twist, 3 of her past 4 fights have ended with split-decision results, with 2 wins and the loss to Esparza.

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UFC Fight Night 226: Fiorot vs. Namajunas odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:36 a.m. ET.

UFC Fight Night 226: Fiorot vs. Namajunas picks and predictions

Fiorot (-200) will be fighting on her home soil in Paris, and the fans will be behind her. But NAMAJUNAS (+160) is the play in her flyweight debut. The former strawweight champ has the experience, and she’ll tap into that wealth of knowledge to get it done and wow the judges.

In addition to the straight-up play on the 2-way line, look to METHOD OF VICTORY 5-WAY: NAMAJUNAS BY DECISION (+300) for the chance to triple up.

YES (-175): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a tad on the expensive side but it’s the slam-dunk play here — especially if you want action on the bout and don’t want to declare a winner.

Fiorot has gone the distance in 3 straight unanimous-decision results, and Namajunas has needed the judges in 3 of her previous 4 outings.