US Open picks, 2023 PGA predictions & betting odds for golf this week

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The busiest time on the golf calendar – complete with four majors in the span of four months – continues this week with the US Open at Los Angeles Country Club. Jon Rahm and Brooks Koepka won the first two majors of the year with respective triumphs at the Masters and PGA Championship.

Will either Rahm or Koepka get the job done for a second major victory in 2023? With the tournament set to begin on Thursday morning, our experts have broken down the betting odds and are ready to deliver their favorite US Open picks.

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Among our experts’ US Open picks are outright plays on both Max Homa at +3000 odds and Sam Burns at +7500. That means a $10 bet on Homa returns $300 in profit if he wins the tournament; a $10 wager on Burns nets $750 in winnings if he lifts the trophy.

Homa is from Los Angeles and has won four times in his home state of California, so he is definitely playing with somewhat of a home-field advantage. It’s also worth noting that he was in the top 10 in his most recent start at Colonial a few weeks ago. As for Burns, he ranks ninth on the PGA Tour in strokes gained putting this season and he is 19th in driving distance. That kind of all-around success should serve him well at Los Angeles Country Club.

Of our experts’ US Open picks, perhaps the best one is on Cameron Smith to win the tournament at +3000 odds. At Los Angeles Country, players will be faced with a variety of options when playing around the small greens. That will likely play right into the hands of Smith, who loves to play creatively to set up his scoring opportunities.

The 29-year-old Australian is a great putter, short-game master and thrives at these big events. Smith won the British Open last summer with a famous closing round that allowed him to overcome Rory McIlroy. He has six other top-10 performances in majors, too.

With Smith playing on the LIV Tour, it is a little bit difficult to gauge his current form. However, he has been in the top 11 in four LIV events this year and he recently tied for ninth at the PGA Championship. We already know that LIV golfers are not having any trouble in majors during this 2023 campaign. Koepka contended at the Masters and then dominated the PGA Championship, and plenty of other LIV players were in the mix at those tournaments.

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Scottie Scheffler is the favorite this week, followed not too far behind by Rahm and Koepka. Rory McIlroy, Viktor Hovland, Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele are also near the top of the discussion about potential winners.

Here is the short list of US Open favorites, which is worth noting as you prepare to make your US Open picks:

Scottie Scheffler +700

Jon Rahm +1100

Brooks Koepka +1100

Rory McIlroy +1300

Viktor Hovland +1700

Patrick Cantlay +1700

Xander Schauffele +2100

Jordan Spieth +2400

Cameron Smith +3000

Max Homa +3000

Collin Morikawa +3100

Matt Fitzpatrick +3400

Hideki Matsuyama +3400

Tyrrell Hatton +3400

US Open qualifying took place in late May and early June in the United States, Canada and Japan. Notable players who successfully played their way into the field are Sergio Gatcia, Stewart Cink, Luke List, Kevin Streelman and Charley Hoffman. Among the amateurs who will be taking their talents to Los Angeles are Gordon Sargent and Michael Thorbjornsen. Although Smith is among the favorites, don’t forget about the qualifiers when you are making your US Open picks.

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