Yankees vs. Mets Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks
The New York Mets (47-53) match up with the New York Yankees (53-48), after Pete Alonso went deep twice in a 9-3 victory over the Yankees, at 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Yankees are favored (-143 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Mets (+120). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 26, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet?
Yankees vs Mets Betting Lines
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won 39, or 58.2%, of the 67 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- The Yankees have a record of 26-14, a 65% win rate, when they’re favored by -143 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 101 games with a total this season.
- The Yankees are 52-49-0 against the spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won in 10, or 29.4%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- The Mets have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +120 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 45.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- The Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 101 games with a total this season.
- The Mets are 40-61-0 against the spread in their 101 games that had a posted line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Carlos Rodon
- Rodon and his team have not covered in any of the three games with a spread he’s started this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, July 19, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed four hits in 4 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels.
- Rodon’s team has been upset in each of the three games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Rodon’s team is winless in the three games he’s started this season.
- In games Rodon has started this season, the teams are 1-2-0 at hitting the over.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
Mets Probable Pitcher – Jose Quintana
- Quintana (0-1) gets the start for the Mets, his second of the season.
- His most recent appearance came on Thursday against the Chicago White Sox, when the left-hander tossed five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- The Mets have not been a moneyline underdog when Quintana starts this season.
- His team has lost the only game he’s appeared in this season.
- Quintana’s lone start with a total this season went under.
Mets Relief Pitchers
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees are 42-14 this season in games when they crush at least two bombs.
- The Yankees have gone 13-2 in the 15 games this season when they have had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits in 64 games this season, and is 43-21 in those contests.
- The Yankees have a 41-12 record in games this season that they put up five or more runs.
- The Yankees are 16-11 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They have won 18 of the 33 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- They’ve won 12 of their 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 36 of the 56 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- They have a 36-16 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-10
Yankees vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-143)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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