2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play odds, picks, field: PGA predictions from model that nailed 8 majors
The final scheduled World Golf Championship event takes place this week with the 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play. It is the only WGC event on this season's PGA Tour schedule, and the tour has already announced that the 2023 WGC-Match Play will be the last of its kind. Austin Country Club hosts play, beginning on Wednesday, and as a designated event, it has a purse of $20 million. The first three rounds consist of a match play format, with 16 group winners then advancing to a knockout format beginning on Saturday.
The top four golfers in World Rankings comprise the top four in 2023 WGC Dell Match Play odds, in that order. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the 7-1 favorite, followed by Jon Rahm (10-1), Rory McIlroy (12-1) and Patrick Cantlay (15-1). Before locking in your 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions, the American Express and the Genesis Invitational. The model also included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.
In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.
This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play field is locked, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play 2023: McIlroy, a 23-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn't even crack the top five. McIlroy opened his 2022-23 season with a victory at the CJ Cup in October, but he's struggled mightily in recent weeks.
In fact, McIlroy has finished T-29 or worse in three of his last four starts on the PGA Tour, which includes a missed cut at the Players Championship earlier this month. He's also struggled at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play in recent years, finishing T-28 or worse in three of his last four starts at this event. McIlroy enters this week's event ranked 139th in greens in regulation percentage (64.81%), 140th in putting average (1.776) and 173rd in strokes gained: putting (-.429). He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play 2023 field.
Another surprise: Cameron Young, a 34-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Young has seven top 25s over his last nine tournaments, including three top 10 finishes. He has a much better chance to win than his long odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Young is among the best ball-strikers on the planet, ranking in the top 16 in the strokes gained categories of: tee-to-green (1.146), off-the-tee (.639) and approach the green (.657). His power off the tee is nearly unparalleled as he ranks third in average driving distance (315.8), which is a key stat for success at Austin. Fellow long drivers like Bubba Watson and Dustin Johnson have won this tournament recently off the strength of their driver, so Young has all the tools needed for success this week. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds longer than 20-1 who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's PGA picks here.
So who will win the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play 2023? And which longshots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed eight golf majors, including last year's Masters.
2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play odds, field
Scottie Scheffler +700Jon Rahm +1000Rory McIlroy +1200Patrick Cantlay +1500Max Homa +1600Collin Morikawa +1900Jordan Spieth +2000Viktor Hovland +2200Xander Schauffele +2200Jason Day +2400Tyrrell Hatton +2500Tony Finau +2500Will Zalatoris +2900Sungjae Im +3100Tom Kim +3100Cameron Young +3400Matthew Fitzpatrick +3700Tommy Fleetwood +3700Corey Conners +4200Sam Burns +4500Shane Lowry +4800Keegan Bradley +4800Hideki Matsuyama +4800Rickie Fowler +5500Matt Kuchar +6000Keith Mitchell +6000Sahith Theegala +6500Min Woo Lee +6500Si Woo Kim +6500Billy Horschel +6500Tom Hoge +6500Chris Kirk +6500Kevin Kisner +6500Adam Scott +8000Alex Noren +8000Seamus Power +8000Russell Henley +8500Harris English +9500Adam Hadwin +9500Brian Harman +9500Kurt Kitayama +9500Justin Suh +9500Victor Perez +9500Taylor Montgomery +10000Davis Riley +10000Ryan Fox +10000Denny McCarthy +10000Maverick Mcnealy +11000Adam Svensson +11000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000Cameron Davis +12000Aaron Wise +12000Nick Taylor +14000K.H. Lee +14000Adrian Meronk +14000Lucas Herbert +14000J.T. Poston +16000Sepp Straka +16000MacKenzie Hughes +17000Ben Griffin +17000Scott Stallings +19000J.J. Spaun +21000Andrew Putnam +21000
