2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions by model that called 10 majors
Scottie Scheffler, the world's No. 1 golfer, looks to become the eighth person to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational multiple times when he tees off on Thursday at 7:45 a.m. ET from Bay Hill Golf Course in Florida. Scheffler won this invitational in 2022, edging out three different golfers by one stroke. Kurt Kitayama won last year to become the third straight American to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational, so who should you expect to emerge out of the highly competitive 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational field when play begins?
Scheffler is the 6-1 favorite to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2024, followed by Rory McIlroy (17-2), Viktor Hovland (12-1) and Xander Schauffele (14-1) in the latest 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. Hovland was one of the three golfers to finish a stroke behind Scheffler in 2022, so should you consider playing him in 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational bets to win this year? Before locking in your 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,700 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model included Hideki Matsuyama in its best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,000.
The model also predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, McClure's best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic. This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2024 field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2024: McIlroy, a 24-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, struggles this week and doesn't even crack the top five. McIlroy won this event in 2018 after firing a 64 in the final round and he secured a T-2 finish at Bay Hill in 2023. However, he has struggled out of the gate in 2024, failing to crack the top-15 in his first three starts on the PGA Tour this season.
McIlroy remains one of the best drivers on tour, but he's been inconsistent with every other aspect of his game this season. The 34-year-old enters this week's event ranked 173rd in strokes gained: approach to green (-0.868), 127th in putting average (1.791) and 147th in putts per round (30.00). He also ranks 151st in scoring average (70.43), which doesn't bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard at Bay Hill this week.
Another surprise: Will Zalatoris, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 27-year-old has won the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship for his first career PGA Tour victory as he enters his 70th tournament this weekend. Zalatoris missed nearly eight full months last season after withdrawing from the 2023 Masters and undergoing back surgery, but he's already proven he's back to playing some of his best golf.
Zalatoris finished T-2 at the Genesis Invitational two weeks ago in his latest tournament, shooting no higher than 70 in any of his four rounds. He's 23rd on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained through four events this year, including 12th in strokes gained: approach to green in a limited sample size. Zalatoris has made the cut in all three career showings at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, including T-10 in 2021, and has finished second in five of 69 career events. He's finished in the top five in more than 15% of his career tournaments and at 35-1 odds this week, the model sees value in picking Zalatoris to win his second PGA tournament. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks
The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Arnold Palmer Invitational leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including last year's Masters and Open Championship.
2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, field
Scottie Scheffler +600Rory McIlroy +850Viktor Hovland +1200Xander Schauffele +1400Patrick Cantlay +1600Ludvig Åberg +2000Jordan Spieth +2000Collin Morikawa +2000Sam Burns +2200Justin Thomas +2200Max Homa +2200Tommy Fleetwood +2800Cameron Young +3300Will Zalatoris +3500Matt Fitzpatrick +4000Jason Day +4500 Adam Scott +5000Hideki Matsuyama +5500Sungjae Im +5500Tom Kim +5500Wyndham Clark +5500Sahith Theegala +6000Russell Henley +6500J.T. Poston +7000Eric Cole +7500Corey Conners +7500Chris Kirk +7500Si Woo Kim +7500Keegan Bradley +8000Nicolai Højgaard +8000Harris English +8000Kurt Kitayama +8000Byeong Hun An +8000Stephan Jaeger +9000Adam Hadwin +9000Jake Knapp +9000Shane Lowry +10000Justin Rose +10000Matthieu Pavon +11000Tom Hoge +11000Luke List +11000Adam Svensson +12000Denny McCarthy +12000Emiliano Grillo +12000Brendon Todd +12000Rickie Fowler +12000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000Andrew Putnam +12000Patrick Rodgers +12000Cam Davis +15000Sepp Straka +15000Lucas Glover +17000Nick Taylor +17000Brian Harman +20000Mark Hubbard +25000
