2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds, field: PGA picks, predictions from model that's nailed 10 majors

cbssports.com
 
2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds, field: PGA picks, predictions from model that's nailed 10 majors

Jordan Spieth has racked up 13 career victories on the PGA Tour, which includes finishing on top of the leaderboard at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2017. Spieth will be part of a star-studded 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am field, which also features Scottie Scheffler, Viktor Hovland, Rory McIlroy, and Justin Thomas. Spieth failed to win a tournament last season and he struggled at Pebble Beach Golf Links, finishing T-63 in 2023. The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2024 is set to get underway from Pebble Beach on Thursday, Feb. 1. 

Spieth is listed at 18-1 according to the latest 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds. McIlroy is the 15-2 favorite, followed by Scheffler (8-1), Hovland (12-1), and Xander Schauffele (16-1) on the PGA odds board. Before locking in your 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now that the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2024 field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2024: McIlroy, a 24-time winner on the PGA Tour and the odds-on favorite this week, struggles and barely cracks the top five. McIlroy has only played the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am once in his career, missing the cut in 2018.

Pebble Beach is a course that demands precision, an area in which McIlroy struggled last season. In fact, McIlroy finished the 2022-23 season ranked 171st in driving accuracy (53.25%) and 79th in greens in regulation percentage (67.88%). He also finished last season ranked outside the top 50 in one-putt percentage (40.80%) and strokes gained: putting (0.164), which doesn't bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard this week at the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

Another surprise: Collin Morikawa, a 22-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Morikawa has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. 

Morikawa had an up-and-down season in 2022-23, recording one win and seven top-10 finishes while missing the cut on six occasions. However, Morikawa is one of the best iron players on tour, which will be rewarded on a course like Pebble Beach. The 26-year-old finished last season ranked fifth in greens in regulation percentage (82.41%) and ninth in strokes gained: approach to green (1.214). If he's able to drain putts this week, Morikawa could find himself in the mix on Sunday. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.

Who will win the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including last year's Masters and Open Championship.

2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds, field

Rory McIlroy +750Scottie Scheffler +800Viktor Hovland +1200Xander Schauffele +1600Jordan Spieth +1800Patrick Cantlay +2000Max Homa +2000Collin Morikawa +2200Ludvig Åberg +2500Justin Thomas +2500Tony Finau +3000Sam Burns +4000Matt Fitzpatrick +4000Tommy Fleetwood +4000Cameron Young +4000Jason Day +4000Sungjae Im +4000Tom Kim +4500Nicolai Højgaard +4500Byeong Hun An +5500Russell Henley +6000Tyrrell Hatton +6000Hideki Matsuyama +6500Eric Cole +6500Beau Hossler +6500J.T. Poston +7000Denny McCarthy +7000Sahith Theegala +8000Brian Harman +8000Adam Scott +8000Keegan Bradley +8000Justin Rose +8000Nick Taylor +9000Corey Conners +9000Wyndham Clark +9000Si Woo Kim +10000Cam Davis +10000Keith Mitchell +10000Chris Kirk +11000Matthieu Pavon +11000Rickie Fowler +11000Alex Noren +12000Tom Hoge +12000Nick Dunlap +12000Harris English +12000Brendon Todd +12000Sepp Straka +12000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000Adam Hadwin +12000Kevin Yu +12000Stephan Jaeger +12000Taylor Montgomery +12000Thomas Detry +15000Patrick Rodgers +15000Andrew Putnam +15000Adam Svensson +17000Adam Schenk +17000Lucas Glover +17000Maverick McNealy +17000Kurt Kitayama +17000Emiliano Grillo +17000Luke List +17000Mackenzie Hughes +20000