2023 YellaWood 500 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Talladega leaderboard, predictions from proven model

The NASCAR playoffs Round of 12 will continue with the 2023 YellaWood 500 at Talladega Superspeedway. The green flag is scheduled to drop at noon ET on Sunday. Brad Keselowski is the 10-1 favorite in the 2023 YellaWood 500 odds. He is followed by Denny Hamlin (12-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Chris Buescher (13-1) in the 2023 NASCAR at Talladega odds.

Our proven NASCAR projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 13 winners since 2021! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.    

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2023 YellaWood 500 and released its projections.

Talladega Superspeedway was built in 1969 to surpass Daytona as the largest oval in NASCAR and it has become one of the temples of speed in the sport. The wide and steeply-banked tri-oval is 2.660 miles and the track has hosted multiple races annually since 1970. The 2023 YellaWood 500 will be the 109th NASCAR Cup Series race held at Talladega Superspeedway and Kyle Busch will seek to become the first driver to complete a season sweep at Talladega since Jeff Gordon in 2007 after winning the GEICO 500 in April.

For the 2023 YellaWood 500, we can tell you the model is high on Austin Cindric, even though he's a 30-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Talladega odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: The model says Brad Keselowski, the Vegas favorite at 10-1, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 YellaWood 500 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two other driverswith 2023 NASCAR at Talladega odds of 20-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag!Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.