2023 Cook Out 400 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard, predictions from proven model

The NASCAR Cup Series season continues on Sunday with the 2023 Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 3:00 p.m. ET. Martin Truex Jr. is the 9-2 favorite in the 2023 Cook Out 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook while his Joe Gibbs Racing teammates Christopher Bell and Denny Hamlin are priced at 13-2. Kyle Larson and Kevin Harvick are also listed at 13-2, rounding out the top five in the NASCAR at Richmond odds.

Our proven NASCAR projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 13 winners since 2021! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.    

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2023 Cook Out 400 and released its projections.

Richmond Raceway first appeared on the NASCAR schedule in 1953 and it has hosted a total of 133 races in the NASCAR Cup Series in its history. The three-quarter mile d-shaped oval is lightly banked in its wide, sweeping corners, placing an added emphasis on tire strategy and handling. Joe Gibbs Racing has won six of the last 10 races at Richmond, with Truex taking the checkered flag on three occasions. However, Larson won the spring race at Richmond for his second career victory at the iconic venue.

For the 2023 Cook Out 400, we can tell you the model is high on Chase Elliott, even though he's a 14-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Richmond odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Kevin Harvick, one of the Vegas favorites at 13-2, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 Cook Out 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two OTHER driverswith 2023 NASCAR at Richmond odds of 13-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag!Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.