2023 NASCAR at Atlanta odds, predictions, lineup, start time: Model reveals surprising Quaker State 400 picks

NASCAR heads to Atlanta this week for the 2023 Quaker State 400. The green flag drops on the 1.54-mile oval at Atlanta Motor Speedway at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday and the race is scheduled for 260 laps. As we enter the second half of the season, attention will continue to shift to the NASCAR Playoffs that begin in September. With 11 playoff-eligible winners so far, first-time winners could be postseason-bound. Joey Logano, Chase Elliott and Kyle Busch are all past NASCAR Cup Series champions and 10-1 co-favorites in the 2023 Quaker State 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook.

However, there are seven other drivers in the 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta odds priced at 16-1 or lower. Before scouring the 2023 Quaker State 400 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 Quaker State 400 picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. 

All told, the model has nailed a whopping 12 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Top 2023 Quaker State 400 predictions

For the 2023 Quaker State 400, the model is high on Martin Truex Jr., even though he's a 25-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The current leader in the NASCAR standings and 2017 NASCAR Cup Series champion is already a two-time winner this season.

He's also been dialed in on familiar circuits of late, finishing top-five in his last four starts on tracks that he's raced before in the NASCAR Cup Series. Truex has also led at least 50 laps in five of his last eight races and the model is expecting him to make another charge at a victory on Sunday in Atlanta. See who else to back at SportsLine.

And a massive shocker: Joey Logano, one of the Vegas co-favorites at 10-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 Quaker State 400 starting lineup. The winner at Atlanta in March is the defending NASCAR Cup Series champion but his performances have been rather disappointing of late.

He's only led laps in one race over his last eight starts and he's had seven finishes of 18th or worse since his victory at Atlanta Motor Speedway. Logano has fallen to 10th in the NASCAR standings and his win in Atlanta earlier this year was one of only three top-five finishes in 19 career Cup starts at the track. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at Atlanta odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

2023 Quaker State 400 odds, drivers, lineup

Joey Logano 10-1Kyle Busch 10-1Chase Elliott 10-1Ryan Blaney 11-1Kyle Larson 12-1Denny Hamlin 12-1Brad Keselowski 12-1William Byron 14-1Ross Chastain 15-1Christopher Bell 16-1Chris Buescher 20-1Corey Lajoie 25-1Tyler Reddick 25-1Martin Truex Jr. 25-1Ty Gibbs 25-1Bubba Wallace 25-1Kevin Harvick 30-1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 30-1Aric Almirola 30-1Daniel Suarez 30-1Alex Bowman 30-1Austin Cindric 30-1Erik Jones 30-1A.J. Allmendinger 40-1Austin Dillon 40-1Michael McDowell 40-1Austin Hill 50-1Justin Haley 50-1Chase Briscoe 50-1Cole Custer 60-1Todd Gilliland 60-1Ryan Preece 60-1Noah Gragson 60-1Harrison Burton 75-1Ty Dillon 500-1BJ McLeod 1000-1