2024 Adelaide Int.: Draper vs Bublik Betting Analysis and Prediction

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2024 Adelaide Int.: Draper vs Bublik Betting Analysis and Prediction

We’re just days away from the 2024 Australian Open, the first of the four major tennis events, but first up is the semi-finals at the Adelaide International. The 2024 Adelaide International schedule has featured some tremendous matches and notable upsets, including top seed Tommy Paul losing to Jack Draper in the quarter-finals. Now, Draper finds himself up against Alexander Bublik in the semi-finals, with the winner moving on to play the winner of Jiri Lehecka vs. Sebastian Korda.

Draper vs Bublik Picks

  • Tennis Pick: Bublik +175.

Let’s check out the tennis odds for the semi-finals and look closer at the Draper vs Bublik betting analysis.

Jack Draper vs Alexander Bublik Information

Jack Draper vs Alexander Bublik

Location of the game: The Drive in Adelaide, Australia

Date & Time: Friday, January 12 at 3 a.m. ET

How to Watch: Tennis TV

Jack Draper vs Alexander Bublik Recent Scores

Draper didn’t just upset Paul in the quarter-finals – he did so in dominant fashion, winning 6-1, 6-4. The world No. 62 won a remarkable 92 percent of points on first serve and was 4-of-7 in breakpoint opportunities. Draper, who just turned 22 in December, also scored impressive victories over Miomir Kecmanovic and fifth-seed Sebastian Baez. He won consecutive tiebreaks against Kecmanovic after dropping the first set.

Bublik, meanwhile, comes into the Draper vs. Bublik betting analysis after beating Lorenzo Musetti 6-3, 6-7 (4), 7-5 in the quarter-finals. He had 17 aces but also recorded 11 double faults, which isn’t uncommon for the hard-serving Kazakh player. He won 93 percent of points on first serve and was 5-of-14 on breakpoint opportunities. Bublik also beat Dan Evans and Aussie qualifier James Mccabe in Adelaide.

Jack Draper vs Alexander Bublik Betting Analysis

Draper Building off Strong Finish to 2023

Draper is the betting favorite in tennis predictions for the semi-final match against Bublik and is a talented young player who could take the next step in his career in 2024. The world No. 62 finished the 2023 season with a finals appearance in the Sofia Open, losing in three sets to champion Adrian Mannarino. This was his first career finals appearance and he could make it two in a row with a win over Bublik.

Draper already has a victory over Bublik too. He beat the world No. 31 back in 2021 at the Queen’s Club in London on grass. However, he’s also the better hard court player, with a combined 30-14 record over the past three seasons. He has been on the court longer than Bublik due to the extra match, but his last match was just 1 hour and 20 minutes, whereas Bublik needed 2 hours and 38 minutes to beat Musetti.

Bublik Hoping to Realize Potential in 2024

It has been a grind for Bublik this week in Adelaide, but that’s nothing new for the talented but frustrating player. The 26-year-old has been heralded as a future star in the sport for several years but hasn’t been able to reach his potential, although he did win two titles early in 2023. He struggled to close out the season and has had trouble on hard courts.

Overall, Bublik was 28-30 in 2023, including a combined 12-19 on indoor and outdoor hard courts. He had a losing record on hard courts in each of the last two seasons, but is off to a strong start this year with his performance in Adelaide and has shown resilience, saving a match point against Musetti before eventually winning the match.

Updates

Both players are reportedly healthy with no injury concerns ahead of the match.

Jack Draper vs Alexander Bublik Betting Preview

Draper is a -225 moneyline favorite in the Draper vs. Bublik betting analysis. He also has a -2.5 (-138) match handicap. The over/under for total games is 22.5. Bublik is the +175 betting underdog. Other tennis odds include Draper to win 2-0 (+120) and Bublik to win in three sets (+450).

Jack Draper vs Alexander Bublik Betting Prediction

Both players have shown incredible perseverance this week and are poised for big things in 2024. Bublik, at +175, offers great betting value as he appears to have taken his game to another level. If he can keep his unforced errors and double faults to a minimum, he should get past Draper.

  • Tennis Pick: Bublik +175.

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