Mexican Open: Ruud vs Shelton Betting Analysis and Prediction

The Mexican Open is one of three tennis events taking place on the ATP Tour this week. The 31st edition of the outdoor hard courts tournament is into the quarter-finals with four of the top-eight seeds remaining in the draw, including defending champion Alex de Minaur. Casper Ruud, the sixth seed, is one of those four seeded players who play in quarter-final action on Thursday. He takes on up-and-coming American Ben Shelton.

Ruud vs Shelton Picks

• Pick: Shelton +150

The winner of the Ruud-Shelton showdown moves on to play the winner of the Holger Rune-Dominik Koepfer match in the semi-finals on Friday. Let’s take a look at the latest scores and odds before our Ruud vs Shelton betting analysis.

Casper Ruud vs Ben Shelton Matchup Information

Casper Ruud vs Ben Shelton

Location of the game: Acapulco Princess Mundo Imperial in Mexico

Date & Time: Thursday, February 29 at 10 p.m. ET

How to Watch: Tennis TV

Casper Ruud vs Ben Shelton Recent Scores

Ruud, one of the favorites in Mexican Open predictions, earned his spot in the quarter-finals with wins over Christopher Eubanks and Dusan Lajovic. He beat Eubanks 6-4, 6-7 (5), 6-3 and followed that up with a 6-4, 7-5 win over Lajovic. His tennis stats for the match included five aces, winning 90 percent of points on first serve, and going 2-of-5 in breakpoint opportunities.

Shelton comes into the Ruud vs Shelton betting analysis with consecutive three-set victories over Dan Evans and Matteo Arnaldi. He dropped the first set against Evans before winning 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 (5). He beat Arnaldi 7-6 (1), 3-6, 6-3. His tennis stats in that match included seven aces, winning 74 percent of points on first serve, and going 3-of-9 in breakpoint opportunities.

Casper Ruud vs Ben Shelton Betting Analysis

Ruud with a Win over Shelton in August

Ruud, who is already back into the top-10 world rankings with his quarter-final appearance in the Ruud vs Shelton betting analysis, has the mental advantage in the match. He beat Shelton 6-2, 7-6 (1) in the Barcelona Open last year. He is 40-21 during the last 52 weeks, including 17-12 on outdoor hard courts.

Ruud is 11-2 and is coming off of a finals appearance in Los Cabos, where he lost to Jordan Thompson. He reached the third round of the Australian Open, losing to Cameron Norrie.

Shelton Looking to Make Third SF This Season

Shelton, although losing to Ruud in their previous match, did beat the Norwegian in 2022 as a wildcard entry in Cincinnati. Since arriving on the tennis scene with his semi-final performance at the 2023 US Open, Shelton won his first ATP Tour title and has had a decent, albeit not great, start to his 2024 season, making a pair of semi-finals.

Shelton is 8-4 this season, including 6-3 on outdoor hard courts. He is coming off of a semi-final loss to eventual champion Tommy Paul at the Dallas Open and reached the third round of the Australian Open, losing to veteran Adrian Mannarino.

Updates

Both players are healthy without any injury concerns heading into Thursday’s quarter-final.

Casper Ruud vs Ben Shelton Betting Preview

Ruud is the betting favorite with -150 moneyline odds to win the Ruud vs Shelton betting analysis. Shelton has tennis odds of +150. Other odds include Shelton to win the first set (+100), Ruud to win in three sets (+270), and Shelton to win in three sets (+330).

Casper Ruud vs Ben Shelton Betting Prediction

There’s great value in betting Shelton in Mexican Open predictions as he’s rounding into form over the last weeks.

• Pick: Shelton +150

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