2024 Masters odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from golf model that's nailed 10 majors
The 2024 Masters Tournament is still two months away, but bettors are beginning to lock in their wagers for the first major of the year. Jon Rahm, the No. 3 ranked player in the world, became the fourth Spaniard to win the Masters with his victory at Augusta National in 2023. The 2024 Masters is scheduled to get underway from Augusta National on Thursday, April 11, and Rahm is 19-2 to repeat according to the latest 2024 Masters odds, trailing only Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy at 15-2.
Tiger Woods, a five-time Masters champion, is a longshot among the 2024 Masters contenders at 75-1. Before locking in any 2024 Masters picks of your own, be sure to see the early golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler's 2022 victory.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at 70-1, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the Masters 2024 field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Masters predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Masters: Rory McIlroy, a four-time major champion and one of the co-favorites, fails to complete the career grand slam and barely cracks the top five at Augusta National. McIlroy has won three of the four grand slam titles, but he's never been able to break through at Augusta National.
He's especially struggled at the Masters in recent years, finishing 67th or worse in two of his last three starts. McIlroy missed the cut in 2023 after firing a 77 in the second round. The 34-year-old star is among the longest hitters on the PGA Tour, but he's struggled with accuracy. Last season, McIlroy ranked 171st in driving accuracy (53.25%), which spells trouble at a demanding course like Augusta National.
Another surprise: Patrick Cantlay, a 21-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Thomas has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Cantlay is a seasoned veteran on the PGA Tour, racking up eight career victories. He's also made it a habit of being in the mix at major championships, finishing 14th or better in five of his last six starts at a major. He's struggled out of the gate this season, a big reason why he's 21-1 according to oddsmakers. However, Cantlay has proven he can beat the best players on tour, winning the Tour Championship in 2021, making him a strong value pick for your 2024 Masters bets, according to the model. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 Masters picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the green jacket. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
2024 Masters odds, field
Rory McIlroy +750Scottie Scheffler +750Jon Rahm +950Viktor Hovland +1500Brooks Koepka +1900Jordan Spieth +1900Cameron Smith +2100Patrick Cantlay +2100Ludvig Aberg +2100Justin Thomas +2400Collin Morikawa +2500Xander Schauffele +2800Bryson DeChambeau +3200Tony Finau +3600Cameron Young +3600Will Zalatoris +3600Dustin Johnson +3600Max Homa +4100Sung-Jae Im +4600Hideki Matsuyama +4600Min Woo Lee +5000Shane Lowry +5000Tom Kim +5000Matt Fitzpatrick +5000Jason Day +5000Rickie Fowler +5000Sahith Theegala +5500Tyrrell Hatton +5500Tommy Fleetwood +5500Patrick Reed +5500Sam Burns +7000Joaquin Niemann +7000Brian Harman +7500Corey Conners +7500Justin Rose +7500Tiger Woods +7500Louis Oosthuizen +9000Russell Henley +9000Talor Gooch +9000Nick Dunlap +9000Phil Mickelson +13000Gary Woodland +13000Adam Scott +13000Seamus Power +15000Abraham Ancer +15000Chris Kirk +15000Ryan Fox +15000Keith Mitchell +15000Si Woo Kim +16000Tom Hoge +18000Sergio Garcia +18000Mito Pereira +18000Keegan Bradley +18000Charl Schwartzel +19000Cameron Champ +19000Kurt Kitayama +19000
