2024 Masters odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from golf model that's called 10 majors
The 2024 PGA Tour has already produced memorable moments and the best golfers in the world will gear up for the first major championship of the season in just under two months. The 2024 Masters will take place at Augusta National Golf Club beginning on Thursday, April 11 and invites are already out for the world's best players. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the 2022 Masters champion and finished in the top 10 in nine of his last 14 major championship appearances.
Scheffler is a 15-2 co-favorite with Rory McIlroy in the 2024 Masters odds. Defending champion Jon Rahm is 19-2, while Viktor Hovland is at 15-1. Two-time runner-up Brooks Koepka and 2015 Masters champion Jordan Spieth are next in the Masters odds 2024 at 19-1. Before locking in any 2024 Masters picks of your own, be sure to see the 2024 Masters golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler's 2022 victory.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at 70-1, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the Masters 2024 field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Masters predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Masters: Rory McIlroy, a four-time major champion and one of the co-favorites, fails to complete the career grand slam and barely cracks the top five at Augusta National. The 34-year-old is No. 2 in the Official World Golf Ranking and won the Hero Dubai Desert Classic earlier this season, but he hasn't been particularly sharp in recent PGA Tour events.
McIlroy was 66th at the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and 24th in the Genesis Invitational. McIlroy has finished top-10 at Augusta National seven times, including a solo second finish in 2022, but he's missed the cut at the Masters in two of the last three years. He's lost 0.511 strokes per round to the field so far this season (121st on the PGA Tour) and the model doesn't like his chance to win a fifth major at Augusta National.
Another surprise: Ludvig Aberg, a 21-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The Swede has made quite an impact on tour since turning professional in June 2023. Since then, he's played in 16 PGA Tour events, placing in the top 25 in 11 of them with six top-10 finishes. He picked up a European Tour win last September, his first PGA victory at the RSM Classic last November, and also has a pair of runners-up since turning pro.
The RSM victory will allow Aberg to participate in his first major championship at Augusta. He's already proven himself as one of the game's elite ball-strikers, ranking 12th on tour in total driving efficiency and placing in the top quartile of PGA Tour golfers in strokes gained: tee-to-green and strokes gained: approach the green. He's also kept pace with the best in the world, as Aberg has four top-25 finishes across his five starts at signature tournaments. Aberg doesn't yet have the name recognition of many others on tour, but his name is one to remember when making 2024 Masters picks. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 Masters picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the green jacket. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
2024 Masters odds, field
Rory McIlroy +750Scottie Scheffler +750Jon Rahm +950Viktor Hovland +1500Brooks Koepka +1900Jordan Spieth +1900Cameron Smith +2100Patrick Cantlay +2100Ludvig Aberg +2100Justin Thomas +2400Collin Morikawa +2500Xander Schauffele +2800Bryson DeChambeau +3200Tony Finau +3600Cameron Young +3600Will Zalatoris +3600Dustin Johnson +3600Max Homa +4100Sung-Jae Im +4600Hideki Matsuyama +4600Min Woo Lee +5000Shane Lowry +5000Tom Kim +5000Matt Fitzpatrick +5000Jason Day +5000Rickie Fowler +5000Sahith Theegala +5500Tyrrell Hatton +5500Tommy Fleetwood +5500Patrick Reed +5500Sam Burns +7000Joaquin Niemann +7000Brian Harman +7500Corey Conners +7500Justin Rose +7500Tiger Woods +7500Louis Oosthuizen +9000Russell Henley +9000Talor Gooch +9000Nick Dunlap +9000Phil Mickelson +13000Gary Woodland +13000Adam Scott +13000Seamus Power +15000Abraham Ancer +15000Chris Kirk +15000Ryan Fox +15000Keith Mitchell +15000Si Woo Kim +16000Tom Hoge +18000Sergio Garcia +18000Mito Pereira +18000Keegan Bradley +18000Charl Schwartzel +19000Cameron Champ +19000Kurt Kitayama +19000
