2024 Masters odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from top golf model that called 10 majors
Mike Weir is the only Canadian golfer to have won a green jacket, but Corey Conners will try to change that this year when he tees off at Augusta National for the Masters 2024. The 32-year-old is a 75-1 longshot to win according to the latest 2024 Masters odds, which is surprising considering his recent history at Augusta. Conners has finished 10th or better in three of his last four starts at the Masters, but his form in recent PGA events hasn't been quite as encouraging.
Conners finished inside the top 25 just once in his first five starts this season, but can he find his rhythm before early April? Conners will be part of a star-studded 2024 Masters field, which includes former champions like Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth and defending champion Jon Rahm. According to the Masters odds 2024, Rahm is 19-2 to repeat, trailing only Scheffler and Rory McIlroy at 15-2. Before locking in any 2024 Masters picks of your own, be sure to see the 2024 Masters golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler's 2022 victory.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at 70-1, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the Masters 2024 field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Masters predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Masters: Rory McIlroy, a four-time major champion and one of the co-favorites, fails to complete the career grand slam and barely cracks the top five at Augusta National. The 34-year-old is No. 2 in the Official World Golf Ranking and won the Hero Dubai Desert Classic earlier this season, but he hasn't been particularly sharp in recent PGA Tour events.
McIlroy was 66th at the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and 24th in the Genesis Invitational. McIlroy has finished top-10 at Augusta National seven times, including a solo second finish in 2022, but he's missed the cut at the Masters in two of the last three years. He's lost 0.511 strokes per round to the field so far this season (121st on the PGA Tour) and the model doesn't like his chance to win a fifth major at Augusta National.
Another surprise: Justin Thomas, a 24-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. It's hard to find many holes in Thomas' golf game right now. In fact, he ranks inside the top 50 in strokes gained: off the tee (0.333), strokes gained: approach to green (0.446) and putting average (1.730).
Thomas' ability to drain putts has helped the 30-year-old average 5.46 birdies per round this season, the fourth-best mark on the PGA Tour. Thomas has also had success at the Masters in recent years, finishing 22nd or better in six of his last seven starts at Augusta National. Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make Thomas a strong play for your 2024 Masters picks, according to the model. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 Masters picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the green jacket. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
2024 Masters odds, field
Rory McIlroy +750Scottie Scheffler +750Jon Rahm +950Viktor Hovland +1500Brooks Koepka +1900Jordan Spieth +1900Cameron Smith +2100Patrick Cantlay +2100Ludvig Aberg +2100Justin Thomas +2400Collin Morikawa +2500Xander Schauffele +2800Bryson DeChambeau +3200Tony Finau +3600Cameron Young +3600Will Zalatoris +3600Dustin Johnson +3600Max Homa +4100Sung-Jae Im +4600Hideki Matsuyama +4600Min Woo Lee +5000Shane Lowry +5000Tom Kim +5000Matt Fitzpatrick +5000Jason Day +5000Rickie Fowler +5000Sahith Theegala +5500Tyrrell Hatton +5500Tommy Fleetwood +5500Patrick Reed +5500Sam Burns +7000Joaquin Niemann +7000Brian Harman +7500Corey Conners +7500Justin Rose +7500Tiger Woods +7500Louis Oosthuizen +9000Russell Henley +9000Talor Gooch +9000Nick Dunlap +9000Phil Mickelson +13000Gary Woodland +13000Adam Scott +13000Seamus Power +15000Abraham Ancer +15000Chris Kirk +15000Ryan Fox +15000Keith Mitchell +15000Si Woo Kim +16000Tom Hoge +18000Sergio Garcia +18000Mito Pereira +18000Keegan Bradley +18000Charl Schwartzel +19000Cameron Champ +19000Kurt Kitayama +19000
