2024 Mexico Open at Vidanta odds, picks, predictions, field: Proven expert fading Emiliano Grillo
The PGA Tour travels south of the border for its next stop when 132 players tee off in the 2024 Mexico Open at Vidanta beginning on Thursday in Nuevo Vallarta, Mexico. With the tournament having been an official PGA Tour event only since 2022, the Mexico Open has not traditionally attracted a star-studded field. That is the case again this year, with world No. 24 and defending champion Tony Finau the highest-ranked player in the 2024 Mexico Open field. He's one of just four players in the top 50 in the world set to compete in Mexico.
Finau is the favorite in the Mexico Open odds at +650. Nicolai Hojgaard (+1600), Emiliano Grillo (+2000), Taylor Pendrith (+2200), and Stephan Jaeger (+2200) round out the top five choices in the Mexico Open field. Before locking in any 2024 Mexico Open picks, make sure you see the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad.
Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He's had incredible success in the outright and first-round leader markets and in betting head-to-head matchups. He also has been on fire with his head-to-head matchups since last year's Charles Schwab Challenge, going 31-17-1 and returning 10.97 units over that span. That's a $1,097 profit for $100 bettors since May 2023.
Nejad also nailed 75-1 longshot Wyndham Clark as the outright winner at the Wells Fargo Championship. In 2023, SportsLine debuted "The Early Wedge," and in the first three months of the show, he hit two first-round leaders and three outright winners.
Now, Nejad has focused his attention on the 2024 Mexico Open field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. See who they are at SportsLine.
Top 2024 Mexico Open expert picks
One surprise: Nejad is completely fading Emiliano Grillo, even though he is one of the favorites according to the odds at +2000. The 31-year-old from Argentina has four top-25 and one top-10 finish in six events this season. He is coming off a 44th-place finish at the Genesis Invitational.
But, among other things, Nejad does not like that Grillo ranks 152nd on the PGA Tour in driving distance (286.4 yards). "He was excellent at this tournament last year, particularly on strokes gained: approach, but the odds are too short when we consider his spotty ball striking to start the season," Nejad told SportsLine.
However, Nejad is high on the chances of Keith Mitchell (+3000). Ranked No. 73 in the world, Mitchell has just two top-25 finishes and one top-10 in five tournaments this season. He also missed the cut at the Farmers Insurance Open last month.
Since then, Mitchell has turned his game around, finishing 54th at Pebble Beach and 17th in Phoenix. He comes into Mexico fresh after taking last week off. "[He] fits the bill in weighted strokes gained: off the tee, and I really like how his game is trending," Nejad said. See whom else to back at SportsLine.
How to make 2024 Mexico Open picks
Nejad has locked in his best bets for the 2024 Mexico Open and is backing several longshots, including one that is priced at more than 50-1. This player "may be getting the ball striking back into form" and is a longshot who could surprise. You can see Nejad's PGA Tour picks only at SportsLine.
So which players should you target or avoid for the 2024 Mexico Open, and which player in thevisit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad's top picks for the 2024 Mexico Open, all from the expert who is 31-17-1 on his last 49 head-to-head picks.
2024 Mexico Open odds, field
Tony Finau +650Nicolai Hojgaard +1600Emiliano Grillo +2000Taylor Pendrith +2200Stephan Jaeger +2200Thomas Detry +2500Thorbjorn Olesen +2800Ryan Fox +3000Patrick Rodgers +3000Keith Mitchell +3000Jake Knapp +3500Erik Van Rooyen +3500Davis Thompson +3500Brandon Wu +3500Ryo Hisatsune +4500Mackenzie Hughes +4500Cameron Champ +4500Mark Hubbard +5000Justin Suh +5000Austin Eckroat +5000Aaron Rai +5000Doug Ghim +5500Alejandro Tosti +5500Michael Kim +6000Maverick McNealy +6000Jhonattan Vegas +6000Charley Hoffman +6000Sam Stevens +6500S.H. Kim +6500Chesson Hadley +6500Vincent Norrman +7000Chris Gotterup +7000Matt Wallace +7500Scott Stallings +8000Parker Coody +8000Nate Lashley +8000K.H. Lee +8000Alex Smalley +8000Victor Perez +9000J.J. Spaun +9000Carson Young +9000Alexander Bjork +9000Sami Valimaki +10000Garrick Higgo +10000Vince Whaley +11000Tyler Duncan +11000Ryan Palmer +11000Patton Kizzire +11000Joseph Bramlett +11000Joe Highsmith +11000Jacob Bridgeman +11000Harry Hall +11000Greyson Sigg +11000Chan Kim +11000Carl Yuan +11000Andrew Novak +11000Robert MacIntyre +13000Matti Schmid +13000Jorge Campillo +13000Davis Riley +13000Bronson Burgoon +13000Ben Kohles +13000Aaron Baddeley +13000Wilson Furr +15000Robby Shelton +15000Rafael Campos +15000Patrick Fishburn +15000Max Greyserman +15000Justin Lower +15000Jimmy Stanger +15000Erik Barnes +15000Dylan Wu +15000Cristobal Del Solar +15000Ben Silverman +15000Adrien Dumont De Chassart +15000Troy Merritt +18000Trace Crowe +18000Tom Whitney +18000Norman Xiong +18000Nico Echavarria +18000MJ Daffue +18000Matt NeSmith +18000Mac Meissner +18000Lanto Griffin +18000Henrik Norlander +18000Harrison Endycott +18000Fred Biondi +18000Francesco Molinari +18000Chandler Phillips +18000Stuart Macdonald +20000Rico Hoey +20000Pierceson Coody +20000Peter Malnati +20000Padraig Harrington +20000Kevin Chappell +20000Hayden Springer +20000Chad Ramey +20000Ryan Moore +25000Ryan McCormick +25000Roger Sloan +25000Paul Barjon +25000Martin Trainer +25000Kevin Dougherty +25000Josh Teater +25000David Skinns +25000David Lipsky +25000Callum Tarren +25000C.T. Pan +25000Blaine Hale, Jr. +25000Scott Piercy +30000Omar Morales +30000Chez Reavie +30000Santiago De la Fuente +30000Preston Stanley +35000James Hahn +35000Scott Gutschewski +40000Roberto Diaz +40000Tyson Alexander +50000Philip Knowles +50000Brandt Snedeker +50000Ben Taylor +50000Alvaro Ortiz +50000Ryan Brehm +60000Sebastian Vazquez +60000Matt Atkins +80000Rodolfo Cazaubon +100000Renato Naula +150000Raul Pereda +200000Ben Sigel +200000J.B. Holmes +250000Austin Wylie +250000
