2023 Mexico Open odds, picks, predictions, field: Proven golf insider fading Maverick McNealy at Vidanta

Top-ranked Jon Rahm comes into the 2023 Mexico Open in a much different place than he was last year, when he won his only tournament of the PGA Tour season. The Spaniard has won four times already in 2022-23, including the Masters, and the Mexico Open 2023 field is even weaker this time around. Tony Finau (No. 16) is the only other top-40 golfer set to tee up Thursday on Vidanta Vallarta's Norman Signature course. Only eight of the top 100 will be in action. Several major champions, including 2019 U.S. Open winner Gary Woodland and 2018 Open champ Francesco Molinari will join the likes of Wyndham Clark, Maverick McNealy and Taylor Pendrith in the 2023 Mexico Open field. 

Caesars Sportsbook has Rahm priced as the clear +290 favorite in its latest 2023 Mexico Open odds. Finau is the second choice at +850, well ahead of third favorite Clark (+2100). They are the only golfers shorter than 30-1. Woodland (+3200), Nicolai Hojgaard (+3400), McNealy (+3400), Patrick Rodgers (+3600) and Alex Noren (+3700) are also expected to be among the top contenders in this 2023 Mexico Open field. Before making any 2023 Mexico Open picks, be sure you .

Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He's had incredible success in the outright and first-round leader markets and betting head-to-head matchups. In 2022, he hit six first-round leaders in a 12-week span while peppering in tournament outrights throughout the year. 

In 2023, Sportsline debuted "The Early Wedge," and in the first three months of the show, he hit two FRLs and three outright winners. Nejad also had a winning head-to-head record in eight of 10 weeks (including full tournament sweeps on head-to-head plays). He was up more than 70 units over that three-month span.

Now, Nejad has studied the 2023 Mexico Open field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of Nejad's PGA picks and analysis.  

Top 2023 Mexico Open expert picks

Shockingly, Nejad is fading McNealy, who is one of the field's most notable players and among the favorites. The former Stanford star appears to have recovered from a shoulder injury that kept him from playing at Pebble Beach and Phoenix, but his game has been ailing. McNealy has three top-10 finishes in 14 events this season, and the most recent came at the Sony Open in January. Nejad says "he's simply not a good course fit," as the Norman layout at Vidanta requires excellence with the driver. McNealy ranks 168th in strokes gained off the tee and 145th in total driving.

On the other hand, Rahm has been dominant in all phases, and Nejad will keep a keen eye on him all week. The price is too steep to back the Spaniard outright, but if he gets off to a slow start, there should be value on him in live betting. Rahm is a perfect fit for most courses, but his power should set him apart at Vidanta. He is 14th in driving distance and 11th in total driving.  The 28-year-old is second on approaches from more than 200 yards and leads the tour in strokes gained total and scoring average (68.823), He has seven top-10 finishes this season. See who he is backing at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 Mexico Open golf picks

Nejad has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Mexico Open and has tabbed his longshots, including one who comes in at well over 60-1 odds. This golfer hits a ton of greens and is one of the best in this field off the tee. See who it is, and get all the expert's picks, at SportsLine.

So which players should you target or avoid for the 2023 Mexico Open? And which golfer in the Mexico Open 2023 field could bring a monster payday of well over 60-1? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad's top prop picks for Mexico Open 2023, all from the expert who was up over 70 units on his golf picks in a recent three-month span.

2023 Mexico Open odds, field, top contenders

Jon Rahm +290Tony Finau +850Wyndham Clark +2100Gary Woodland +3200Nicolai Hojgaard +3400Maverick Mcnealy +3400Patrick Rodgers +3600Alex Noren +3700Taylor Pendrith +4100Byeong Hun An +4800Emiliano Grillo +5000Beau Hossler +5000Stephan Jaeger +5500Aaron Rai +5500Ben Martin +5500Andrew Putnam +5500Alex Smalley +5500S.H. Kim +6500Robby Shelton +6500Brandon Wu +6500Garrick Higgo +6500Will Gordon +7000Matt Wallace +7500Mark Hubbard +7500Luke List +8500Lee Hodges +8500Joseph Bramlett +9000Lanto Griffin +9000Patton Kizzire +9000David Lipsky +9000Francesco Molinari +9000Chez Reavie +9000MJ Daffue +9000Dylan Wu +9000Nate Lashley +10000Cameron Champ +10000Eric Cole +10000Harry Hall +10000Kevin Streelman +11000Ryan Gerard +11000Akshay Bhatia +11000Michael Kim +12000Vincent Norrman +12000Peter Malnati +12000Erik Van Rooyen +13000Harry Higgs +13000Austin Eckroat +13000Andrew Novak +13000Scott Piercy +15000Jimmy Walker +15000Charley Hoffman +15000Kevin Chappell +15000Greyson Sigg +15000Adam Long +15000Lucas Glover +16000Sean O'Hair +16000Matthias Schmid +16000Matthias Schwab +16000Dylan Frittelli +16000Doug Ghim +18000Augusto Nunez +18000Aaron Baddeley +18000Ben Taylor +18000Henrik Norlander +18000Kevin Tway +21000Carl Yuan +21000