2024 Sony Open in Hawaii Picks & Odds: Aberg Headlines, Kim Defends

The first chapter of Ludvig Aberg has been supercharged by impressive wins at the European Masters and RSM Classic. That early success has him favored over a slim field at Waialae — read more in our Sony Open in Hawaii betting preview below.

A fresh PGA Tour season kicked off with a Chris Kirk victory at Kapalua last weekend and it carries on with the lesser of two season-opening Hawaii stops: the Sony Open in Hawaii at Waialae Country Club.

Not only does this event lack last week's star power, but we've also seen a handful of sleepers take the trophy here at Waialae, with just one of the last seven winners closing with odds shorter than 40/1.

Si Woo Kim is the latest example, having won here a season ago after closing at 40/1. After a T25 finish at Kapalua last week, he's back to defend his title and can be had between 33/1 and 40/1.

Best 2024 Sony Open in Hawaii picks

• J.T. Poston Top 20 (+190 at FanDuel)
• Russell Henley Top 20 (+120 at FanDuel)

Odds to win the 2024 Sony Open in Hawaii

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Sony Open in Hawaii picks and predictions

J.T. Poston Top 20 (+190)

At or around the top of the list of the PGA Tour’s most underrated golfers lies one J.T. Poston.

He’s far from a household name but it’s hard to see why when you glance at his results. He’s made 38 starts since his win at the 2022 John Deere Classic and has finished inside the Top 25 in exactly half of them.

More recently? Eight Top 25s in his last 10 starts, including six Top 7s and a T5 at Kapalua last week. Those results have him second in the field in true strokes gained over the last six months behind only Brian Harman. 

The one hold-up with this handicap — and the reason for this bigger price — is the so-so track record here at Waialae. He finished T21 last season and T20 in 2019 but went T42-MC-MC in three starts in between. 

However, two of those three bad finishes came when he was totally and utterly out of form. That’s far from the case this week. 

Pick: J.T. Poston Top 20 (+190 at FanDuel)

Russell Henley Top 20 (+120)

The handicap for Russell Henley is not dissimilar to that of Poston, but what J.T. lacks in course history, this guy possesses. 

His 11 career Sony Open starts kicked off with a win in 2013, but it also includes a playoff loss in 2022 and three other finishes of T17 or better. 

He’s second in the field in total true strokes gained over the last year while ranking second in strokes gained tee-to-green and first in driving accuracy over that stretch. 

He finished just T52 at The Sentry last week but that came as a result of his worst tee-to-green performance in nearly nine months. Before Kapalua, he went on a run of 13 Top 20s in 16 starts. 

That outlier performance is giving us an extra 20-25 points on this price and it’s a buy-low spot (relatively speaking) I’m more than happy to jump all over.

Pick: Russell Henley Top 20 (+120 at FanDuel)

Sony Open in Hawaii field and favorites

While last week's T47 finish at Kapalua proves Ludvig Aberg is only human, it's not stopping him from entering this week atop the board. He's available between 12/1 and 14/1 in his Sony Open debut.

Matt Fitzpatrick and Tyrrell Hatton, both of whom finished T14 last week, are tied for second on the board at +1,400 apiece. Fitz won as recently as the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship in October and also finished T4 at the Hero World in December.

2013 champ and 2022 runner-up Russell Henley sits fourth on the board despite a T52 finish last week. He did, however, close last season strong, finishing T6, T8, and T14 in the three FedEx Cup Playoff events.

2023 Open champ Brian Harman rounds out the Top 5 at 22/1 after a T8 finish at the Hero World and a T5 finish at Kapalua last week.

As for defending champions, Si Woo Kim can be had between 33/1 and 40/1 while 2022 champ Hideki Matsuyama is on the board at 40/1. 2019 winner Matt Kuchar is available at 50/1.

Covers golf betting tools

Let's take a look at some recent Sony Open in Hawaii winners and their closing odds to win:

Sony Open in Hawaii Odds FAQs

Ludvig Aberg (+1,200) is the current betting favorite to win the 2024 Sony Open in Hawaii with 12/1 odds.

The Sony Open in Hawaii is played at Wai'alae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii. It's a Par-70, 7,044-yard course.

Si Woo Kim won this event in 2023 with a 18-under 262, beating out Hayden Buckley by one shot.

The Sony Open in Hawaii purse for 2024 is $8.3 million, with $1.494 million going to the winner.