Alonso vs. Rodriguez Home Run Derby matchup: Daily best bets

Each day, one of our experts at Bet.NOLA.com will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks in Louisiana are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.

A reminder for those who haven’t signed up yet: New users can get a risk-free bet at Caesars Sportsbook, meaning that if your first bet loses, you get a bonus bet for the same amount up to $1,250. New users also get 1,000 Caesars Rewards points to redeem for hotel or casino credit.

Here are our best bets for Monday, July 10:

TOP PLAY

The play: MLB Home Run Derby first round matchup: Pete Alonso over Julio Rodriguez

The odds/bet: -160 ($48 to win $30)

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: 7 p.m. (ESPN)

Our take: The most highly anticipated Home Run Derby first round contest will be a rematch of last year’s semifinals matchup between Alonso and Rodriguez.

Rodriguez took down the two-time defending champion Alonso, and while Rodriguez will have the backing of his home crowd in Seattle this time around, we’re going to favor the experience of Alonso here as he looks for retribution.

No Home Run Derby participant has matched Alonso’s level of success in this format, so we feel like there’s value in his first round price since the storyline of Rodriguez winning it in his home park is one that public bettors will tend to fall for.

VLADIMIR GUERRERO JR. LONGEST HOME RUN

The play: MLB Home Run Derby: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to hit longest home run

The odds/bet: +280 ($10 to win $28)

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Our take: Vlad Jr. hasn’t hit as many home runs in 2023 as expected, but that doesn’t mean he won’t have success in tonight's Home Run Derby.

Vlad Jr. put on a show the last time he participated in the derby back in 2019, and that included a record 40 home runs in the second round and several balls launched well over 450 feet.

It’s tough to predict whose bat will produce the most dramatic long ball, but we’ll bank on Vlad Jr. coming through considering that his swing is perfect for producing moonshots.

HOW WE’VE FARED

• CONCACAF Gold Cup, Jesus Ferreira anytime goal scorer (LOST $30)

• CONCACAF Gold Cup, USA over Canada (LOST $15.50)

Sunday's profit/loss: -$45.50 (0-2)

Final total for the week: -$85.50 (4-10)

Total for July: -$45.50 (7-10)

Total for 2023: -$394.25 (157-172)

If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)

Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).