Arizona Diamondbacks at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions
The Arizona Diamondbacks (52-39) and Toronto Blue Jays (50-41) open a 3-game set Friday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since Arizona won the 2019 series 3-0
The Diamondbacks had lost 5 of their last 7 games heading into the All-Star break, including a 4-2 loss as -155 home favorites vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday. Arizona is tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers for the NL West lead.
All-Star OF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will face the Blue Jays for the 1st time Friday since being traded to the Diamondbacks.
Toronto had won 5 of its last 6 games before the break. Its most recent win was a 4-3 victory as a -129 favorite at the Detroit Tigers Sunday. The Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East, 7 games back of the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays.
Toronto 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is coming off a Home Run Derby win Monday, 16 years after his father Vladimir Guerrero Sr. took home the honor.
Diamondbacks at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP José Berríos
Nelson (5-5, 5.19 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 93 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: Loss, 3 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 1 K in a 9-0 home loss vs. New York Mets July 6
- First career start vs. Blue Jays
Berríos (8-6, 3.50 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 108 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 6-2 win in extra innings at Chicago White Sox July 6
- Only career start vs. D-backs: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 5-0 home win as a member of the Minnesota Twins Aug. 19, 2017
Diamondbacks at Blue Jays odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.
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Diamondbacks at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 5, Diamondbacks 3
The Blue Jays (-175) should win for the 6th time in 7 games, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the ML when Toronto should win by multiple runs.
PASS on the ML. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.
The Diamondbacks seem to be regressing after winning 12 of 14 games from May 28-June 12. They have lost 9 of their last 15 contests and 6 of those losses have been by multiple runs.
Berríos has been trustworthy lately and has allowed 3 or more ER in just 3 of his last 12 starts. Look for Toronto to come out energized after the break and to pick up where it left off.
BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+110).
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The Under has hit in 9 of Arizona’s last 11 games and 9 of the last 12 for Toronto.
The Under is 28-18-3 in the Blue Jays’ games after a win this season and should cash again Friday with Berríos on the mound.
BET UNDER 9.5 (-120).
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