Bengals vs. Dolphins odds, line, spread: Thursday Night Football picks, NFL predictions by advanced model

The Miami Dolphins are 3-0 on the season and host the Bengals on Thursday Night Football. The Dolphins beat the Buffalo Bills 21-19 last Sunday. Cincinnati is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Bengals vs. Dolphins odds. Miami leads the all-time series 17-7. An advanced model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and has returned over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception.

Bengals vs. Dolphins is Thursday Night Football. The Bengals are favored by 3.5 points. Miami is 4-0 against the spread in their last four September games. Bengals have covered seven straight games against teams with winning records.

Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow has had success at home games on Thursday Night Football. Running back Joe Mixon has scored 13 touchdowns in his past 12 games at his home stadium. MIXON had 115 scrimmage yards, 93 rushing, and a touchdown catch in last home game against Miami.

Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is second in the NFL this season in passing yards with 925 and is tied for third in touchdown passes with eight. Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill are second and third, respectively, in receiving yards this year. Waddell has 123 receptions in 19 career games, second-most by a player in his first 20 career NFL games. Hill has receiving touchdowns in six of his seven career Thursday Night Football games on the Bengals.

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total and against-the-spread pick.