Dolphins vs. Giants prediction, odds, spread, start time: 2023 NFL picks, Week 5 best bets from proven model
The Miami Dolphins (3-1) look to get back on track when they host the New York Giants (1-3) in a NFL Week 5 matchup on Sunday. One week after scoring 70 points and breaking numerous records against the Denver Broncos, Miami suffered a 48-20 blowout loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 4. Meanwhile, the Giants suffered their second straight loss, falling 24-3 to the Seattle Seahawks on Monday Night Football. New York is 0-4, while Miami is 3-1 against the spread in 2023.
Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium. Miami is favored by 12.5 points in the latest Dolphins vs. Giants odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 47.5. Before making any Giants vs. Dolphins picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 168-118 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 22-10 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Giants vs. Dolphins and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 5 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Dolphins vs. Giants:
- Giants vs. Dolphins spread: Dolphins -12.5
- Giants vs. Dolphins over/under: 47.5 points
- Giants vs. Dolphins money line: Dolphins -745, Giants +513
- Giants vs. Dolphins picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Giants vs. Dolphins live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Dolphins can cover
The Dolphins have one of the most explosive offenses the NFL has seen in recent years. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has played well enough through four weeks that he is the current betting favorite to win the 2023 NFL MVP award. Tagovailoa enters this matchup completing 71.9% of his passes for 1,306 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions.
Tagovailoa has arguably the top wide receiver duo in the NFL at his disposal. Tyreek Hill, a five-time All-Pro selection, ranks first in the NFL with four touchdown receptions and third in receiving yards (470) on 28 catches. Jaylen Waddle, who missed Miami's Week 3 win over Denver, enters this game with 12 receptions for 210 yards. See which team to pick here.
Why the Giants can cover
Pro Bowl running back Saquon Barkley is questionable after missing two weeks with a high ankle sprain. His presence in the Giants' offense would make life easier for quarterback Daniel Jones and give New York a much needed weapon out of the backfield. In two games (one of which ended prematurely because of his ankle injury), Barkley has carried 29 times for 114 yards and a touchdown. He's also caught nine passes for 41 yards and a score.
Pro Bowl tight end Darren Waller, an offseason trade acquisition, has given the Giants a much-needed option in the passing game. Waller enters Week 4 leading the team in targets (23), receptions (15) and receiving yards (153). The 31-year-old tight end will be a matchup problem for Miami's defense. See which team to pick here.
How to make Giants vs. Dolphins picks
The model has simulated Dolphins vs. Giants 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model's Dolphins vs. Giants pick at SportsLine.
