Dolphins vs. Chargers odds, spread, line: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from proven NFL model

Dolphins are the No. 6 seed in the AFC and one game behind the Buffalo Bills in AFC East. Miami is 8-4 overall and 3-3 on the road this season. Los Angeles is 6-6 overall, but just 1- 3 in last four games. Caesars Sportsbook lists Miami as the three-point road favorite. The over/under is 54.5 in latest Dolphins vs. Chargers odds.

Dolphins vs. Chargers is Sunday Night Football. Dolphins are favored by 3 points. The over/under is 54.5 points and Dolphins money line is -178.

Dolphins vs. Chargers is Sunday Night Football. Dolphins are 3-3, the Chargers are 4-2 against the spread in their last five games. The Dolphins money line is Dolphins -178, Chargers +150.

The Dolphins are No. 2 in the league in passing offense. They are leading the team in yards per pass attempt (8.5). Tua Tagovailoa is leading in passer rating (112.0), yards and attempts (9.00), QBR (77.4), completion rate (68.1%), and passing yards (285.9 per game). Tyreek Hill is the most productive receiver in NFL this season with 96 catches and 1,379 receiving yards.

The Chargers are highly productive on offense, averaging 22.7 points per game this season and 23.8 points in the last nine games. Miami's offense is below the NFL average in rushing yards (1,076), yards per carry (4.0), and third down efficiency (38. 7%). Los Angeles is above the league average for total yards, first downs, passing yards and passing touchdowns.

SportsLine's model is leaning Under and projecting 54 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that hits in well over 50% of simulations.