Bucks vs. Timberwolves NBA Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions for Friday
Milwaukee looks to bounce back Friday against a streaking Minnesota squad, as we offer our best Bucks vs. Timberwolves NBA player props based on the best NBA odds.
The Doc Rivers era in Milwaukee has been somewhere between a disappointment and a disaster, depending on who you ask. The Bucks will have a chance to settle the score Friday against the streaking Minnesota Timberwolves, with those teams tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN.
The Timberwolves enter this game in sole possession of first place in the Western Conference after winning four straight games before the NBA All-Star break. That streak began with a 24-point win over the Bucks on Feb. 8 - which somehow isn't even Milwaukee's worst loss of the month.
Along with our NBA best bets for Friday, here are our best Bucks vs. Timberwolves NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via ourbest NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Bucks vs. Timberwolves NBA player props: Friday
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Bucks vs. Timberwolves props
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 threes (+130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
This is one of my favorite NBA plays of the week, and it has everything to do with the matchup.
For years, the Bucks have featured one of the NBA's best interior defenses behind perennial DPOY candidates Brook Lopez and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Those two wall off the paint with their elite size and range, and while this defense as a whole suffered under Adrian Griffin, it's been a top-10 unit under Rivers.
One major area of weakness, though, has been defending bigs along the perimeter. This season, Milwaukee is allowing the second-most threes to opposing centers (1.26) and the sixth-most to opposing power forwards (2.73).
Towns has hit only one 3-pointer in each of his last three games, but he drilled four triples in that win over the Bucks on Feb. 8, which came after sinking seven threes the game before against a Chicago Bulls defense with similar flaws. Catching these +130 odds via DraftKings makes this all the more appealing.
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Bobby Portis Under 12.5 points (-125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Portis has scored at least 13 points in four straight games entering Friday's tilt. So why is his Under dealing at such short odds - and why are we betting it, anyway?
Again, it all comes down to the matchup. The Timberwolves own the NBA's best defensive rating (108.2) thanks in large part to Rudy Gobert, who is the runaway favorite by our NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds. He also owned the single-lowest defensive rating for any player (104.3) entering the All-Star break.
His presence inside is the main reason why Minnesota ranks in the top five in points allowed to opposing power forwards (fourth) and centers (fifth). Portis scored 12 points in nearly 30 minutes in that blowout loss on Feb. 8; I'd be surprised if he plays that long on Friday or score that many points, either.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 11.5 rebounds (-129 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐
This is another matchup-based bet in favor of the Timberwolves, who are allowing the fewest rebounds to centers and second-fewest to power forwards. That shouldn't surprise anyone considering Minnesota starts two 7-footers, one of whom ranks second leaguewide in rebounds per game.
Even so, our best sports betting sites are hanging a gaudy total on Antetokounmpo, who has fallen short of this mark in seven of his last nine games. He had just three rebounds in that Feb. 8 loss to the Timberwolves, yet this total is somehow even higher than his season average (11.2).
If you're leery about laying the juice on this bet, consider that the rest of our best sportsbooks are all dealing this side at -140 or shorter. You can bet Under 10.5 at +102 via FanDuel, which isn't a bad bet, but I'd rather pay the price for more certainty on a number that should be tough to reach for Antetokounmpo.
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Bucks-Timberwolves NBA player props made Friday at 1:30 p.m. ET.
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