Cardinals vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The St. Louis Cardinals (36-51) visit the Chicago White Sox (37-52) to start a three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field, with first pitch at 8:10 PM ET on Friday. The Cardinals are on the back of a series defeat to the Marlins, and the White Sox a series loss to the Blue Jays.

Oddsmakers project the Cardinals as a small favorite (-111 to win on the moneyline) against the White Sox (-107). The game’s total is set at 8.5.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 7, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Cardinals vs White Sox Betting Lines

Cardinals Betting Insights

• This season, the Cardinals have won 21 out of the 49 games, or 42.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
• St. Louis has a record of 20-28, a 41.7% win rate, when favored by -111 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 52.6%.
• So far this season, St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of 87 games with a total.
• The Cardinals have an ATS record of 38-49-0 in 87 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

White Sox Betting Insights

• The White Sox have been victorious in 19, or 34.5%, of the 55 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Chicago has won 19 of 55 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the White Sox have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.
• Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 40 of its 89 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The White Sox are 44-45-0 against the spread in their 89 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery

• Montgomery and his team have a record of 7-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up no earned runs while allowing two hits.
• Montgomery has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
• In 17 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
• Montgomery’s team is 5-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• In games Montgomery has started, his team is 6-11.
• Out of Montgomery’s 17 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Dylan Cease

• Cease (3-3) gets the starting nod for the White Sox in his 19th start of the season. He has a 4.10 ERA in 96 2/3 innings pitched, with 115 strikeouts.
• The right-hander’s last appearance came on Saturday against the Oakland Athletics, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
• Cease will try to go five or more innings for his seventh straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing.
• He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
• The White Sox have a 3-4 record in Cease’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Cease’s team has won nine of his 18 starts.
• Cease has had 18 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those games hit the over.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Cardinals Hitting Trends

• The Cardinals have a 28-14 record this season in games when they belt two or more home runs.
• St. Louis is 24-4 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
• The team has strung together eight or more hits 60 times this season, and has a 37-23 record in those games.
• St. Louis has a 33-9 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Cardinals are 10-16 in the 26 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

White Sox Hitting Trends

• They are 14-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• Chicago has won 11 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• They have a record of 29-24 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• In 32 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 23-9.
• In 11 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-6

Cardinals vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: White Sox (-107)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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