Rangers vs. Marlins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Texas Rangers (63-46) host the Miami Marlins (58-52) to start a three-game series at Globe Life Field, with first pitch at 8:05 PM ET on Friday. The Rangers are on the back of a series victory over the White Sox, and the Marlins a series loss to the Phillies.

The Marlins (+118 underdog moneyline odds to win) visit the Rangers (-142). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.

The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 4, 2023 at 7:20 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Rangers vs Marlins Betting Lines

Rangers Betting Insights

• The Rangers have entered the game as favorites 71 times this season and won 43, or 60.6%, of those games.
• Texas has a record of 28-16, a 63.6% win rate, when favored by -142 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Rangers have a 58.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Texas’ games have gone over the total in 55 of its 109 chances.
• The Rangers are 64-45-0 ATS in their 109 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Marlins Betting Insights

• The Marlins have been underdogs in 55 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (45.5%) in those contests.
• Miami has a mark of 14-17 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.9% chance of walking away with the win.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over in 51 of its 110 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins are 49-61-0 against the spread in their 110 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery

• Montgomery and his team have a record of 8-13-0 against the spread when he starts.
• The left-hander last pitched on Saturday with the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw six innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up five hits against the Chicago Cubs.
• Montgomery has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 21 chances this season.
• When Montgomery starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-11.
• Montgomery’s team has won seven of his 21 starts.
• In Montgomery’s 21 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo

• Luzardo (8-5 with a 3.38 ERA and 147 strikeouts in 125 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Marlins, his 23rd of the season.
• The left-hander’s most recent time out came on Sunday against the Detroit Tigers, when he went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• Luzardo will look to pick up his 18th game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.7 innings per appearance.
• He has had four appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
• The Marlins are 7-4 in Luzardo’s 11 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
• Luzardo’s team has put together a 15-7 record over his 22 starts.
• Luzardo’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 11 of 22 games.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Rangers Hitting Trends

• The Rangers are 38-14 this season in games when they send out at least two home runs.
• Texas is 24-12 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
• The team has totaled eight or more hits in 90 games this season, and is 61-29 in those contests.
• Texas is 56-18 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Rangers are 25-16 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Marlins Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 33 games this season and are 14-19 in those matchups.
• Miami has won 19 of its 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• They have a record of 48-38 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• Miami has a 40-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• In 24 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-11

Rangers vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-142)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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