Celtics vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Golden State Warriors (32-27) will look to build on a three-game winning streak when they visit the Boston Celtics (47-12) at 3:30 PM ET on Sunday, March 3, 2024 as 11-point underdogs. The Celtics have won 10 games in a row. The matchup’s over/under is set at 231.5.

Celtics vs. Warriors Odds

How to Bet on Celtics vs. Warriors

Game Time and Information

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Warriors?

Celtics and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 11 points or more, the Celtics have a 10-8 record against the spread.

In games they have played as at least 11-point underdogs this year, the Warriors are 1-0 against the spread.

The Celtics and the Warriors combine to average 8.6 more points per game than the over/under of 231.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 227 points per game, 4.5 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.

The average point total for Celtics games this year is 0.3 fewer points than the over/under of 231.5 in this matchup.

The average over/under in Golden State’s games this season is 4.4 more points than the point total of 231.5 for this outing.

So far this season, Boston has compiled a 29-27-3 record against the spread.

The Warriors are 32-25-2 against the spread this year.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics are outscoring opponents by 10.8 points per game with a +633 scoring differential overall. They put up 121.0 points per game (fourth in the NBA) and allow 110.2 per contest (fifth in the league).

The Celtics win the rebound battle by 3.5 boards on average. They collect 47.1 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league, while their opponents pull down 43.6 per contest.

Boston connects on 3.1 more threes per contest than the opposition, 16.2 (first in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.1.

The Celtics rank first in the league by averaging 123.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are third in the NBA, allowing 112.4 points per 100 possessions.

So far in the 2023-24 season, the Celtics are scoring 4.0 more points per home game on average than on the road (122.9 at home, 118.9 on the road), but are conceding 3.4 fewer points per home game compared to road games (108.6 at home, 112.0 on the road).

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors have a +134 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.3 points per game. They’re putting up 119.1 points per game, sixth in the league, and are allowing 116.8 per outing to rank 18th in the NBA.

The 46.9 rebounds per game Golden State accumulates rank second in the NBA, 3.7 more than the 43.2 its opponents grab.

The Warriors connect on 15.2 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league) while shooting 38.0% from deep (fifth-best in NBA). They are making 2.3 more threes than their opponents, who drain 12.9 per game at 35.2%.

The Warriors rank 11th in the NBA with 118.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 18th defensively with 116.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home Golden State is scoring 117.5 points per game, 3.4 fewer points than it is averaging away (120.9).

Celtics Key Players to Watch

The Celtics get 27.1 points, 8.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists from Jayson Tatum.

The Celtics get 3.1 three-pointers per game out of Tatum.

Derrick White picks up 1.1 takeaways per game, while Kristaps Porzingis compiles 1.8 rejections per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The Warriors go-to guy, Stephen Curry, leads active Warriors players in both scoring (27.5 points per game) and assists (5.0 assists per game).

Kevon Looney’s per-game averages this season are 4.6 points, 2.1 assists and 6.1 rebounds.

Curry averages 5.0 made threes per game.

Curry’s 0.8 steals and Trayce Jackson-Davis’ 0.8 blocks per game are important to the Warriors’ defensive effort.

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