Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

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Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The San Antonio Spurs (13-50) are 8.5-point underdogs as they try to break a seven-game road slide when they take on the Golden State Warriors (33-29) on Saturday, March 9, 2024 at Chase Center. The contest airs at 8:30 PM ET on NBCS. The matchup has a point total of 230.5.

Warriors vs. Spurs Odds

  • Warriors odds to win: -395
  • Spurs odds to win: +310
  • Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
  • Total: 230.5
  • How to Bet on Warriors vs. Spurs

    Game Time and Information

  • When: Saturday, March 9, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
  • TV: NBCS
  • Who Will Win Warriors vs. Spurs?

    Warriors and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    The Warriors are 4-4 against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.

    The Spurs are 16-16 against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year.

    The Warriors and the Spurs combine to average 0.6 more points per game than the over/under of 230.5 set for this matchup.

    Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 237.3 points per game, 6.8 more than the over/under in this game.

    The average over/under the Warriors have had set in games this year is 5.1 more points than this outing’s point total.

    The average point total for San Antonio this season is 2.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.

    Golden State’s ATS record is 33-27-2 this season.

    The Spurs are 31-32-0 against the spread this year.

    Warriors Stats & Insights

    The Warriors’ +114 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 118.7 points per game (sixth in the NBA) while allowing 116.9 per outing (18th in the league).

    The Warriors prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 3.8 boards. They are recording 47.0 rebounds per game (second in the league) compared to their opponents’ 43.2 per outing.

    Golden State connects on 15.0 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league) while shooting 37.6% from beyond the arc (eighth-best in the NBA). It is making 1.8 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 13.2 per game while shooting 35.6%.

    The Warriors average 118.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (13th in the league), and give up 116.6 points per 100 possessions (17th in the NBA).

    The Warriors have scored at a lower rate when playing at home than away from home in the 2023-24 season (117.9 at home versus 119.7 on the road), and have allowed more points in home games than in road games (117.1 opponent points per home game versus 116.7 on the road).

    Spurs Stats & Insights

    The Spurs have a -501 scoring differential, falling short by 8.0 points per game. They’re putting up 112.4 points per game, 22nd in the league, and are allowing 120.4 per outing to rank 25th in the NBA.

    The 43.3 rebounds per game San Antonio accumulates rank 18th in the league, 2.4 fewer than the 45.7 its opponents grab.

    The Spurs hit 12.6 three-pointers per game (15th in the league), while their opponents have made 13.2 on average.

    The Spurs put up 111.1 points per 100 possessions (27th in league), while allowing 118.9 points per 100 possessions (23rd in NBA).

    In 2023-24 San Antonio is scoring 5.0 more points per game at home (115.2) than on the road (110.2).

    Warriors Key Players to Watch

    The active leader in points and assists for the Warriors this season is Stephen Curry, who scores 26.9 points and dishes out 4.9 assists per game.

    Kevon Looney’s averages this season are 4.6 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game.

    The Warriors get 4.9 three-pointers per game out of Curry.

    Chris Paul averages 1.3 steals per game, while Trayce Jackson-Davis has 0.9 blocks per contest.

    Spurs Key Players to Watch

    Devin Vassell racks up 19.5 points per game and also tacks on 3.9 rebounds and 4.0 assists per contest.

    This season, Jeremy Sochan is averaging 11.3 points, 3.4 assists and 6.2 rebounds per game.

    Vassell knocks down 2.5 threes per game.

    The Spurs’ defensive efforts get a lift from Vassell (1.1 steals per game) and Zach Collins (0.7 blocks per game).

  • Pick ATS: Warriors (- 8.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (230.5)

  • Prediction:
    Warriors 124 – Spurs 110
  • Warriors vs. Spurs Promo Codes