Celtics vs. Wizards Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The Boston Celtics (52-23) head into their game against the Washington Wizards (33-42) on March 28, 2023 as double-digit favorites. Boston is favored by 11 points. The game’s point total is 222.5.

Celtics vs. Wizards Odds

• Celtics odds to win: -573
• Wizards odds to win: +421
• Spread: Celtics (-11)
• Total: 222.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Tuesday, March 28, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
• TV: NBCS-DC and NBCS-BOS

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Wizards?

Celtics and Wizards Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 11-point favorites this season, the Celtics are 6-5-1 against the spread.

The Wizards have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 11 points or more this year (0-1).

These teams average a combined 231 points per game, 8.5 more points than the over/under of 222.5 set for this game.

Boston and Washington have seen its opponents average a combined 3.0 more points per game than the point total of 222.5 set in this game.

The average point total in Celtics games this year is 7.4 more points than the total of 222.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for Washington this season is 4.2 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Boston has a 39-33-3 record against the spread this season.

The Wizards are 33-39-3 against the spread this year.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics have a +478 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.4 points per game. They’re putting up 118.1 points per game to rank third in the league and are giving up 111.7 per contest to rank fourth in the NBA.

The Celtics average 45.3 rebounds per game (seventh in the league) while allowing 44 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.3 boards per game.

Boston connects on 16 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league) at a 37.8% rate (sixth-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.7 per game its opponents make at a 34.9% rate.

The Celtics average 115.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (third in the league), and allow 108.9 points per 100 possessions (fourth in the NBA).

The Celtics’ offense has been much better at home (121.1 PPG) compared to road games (115.2 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better at home (111 PPG allowed) compared to away games (112.5 PPG allowed).

Wizards Stats & Insights

The Wizards score 112.9 points per game (23rd in NBA) and give up 113.8 (16th in league) for a -73 scoring differential overall.

The 43.5 rebounds per game Washington accumulates rank 14th in the league. Their opponents record 42.7.

The Wizards connect on 11.2 three-pointers per game (21st in the league) at a 35.8% rate (18th in NBA), compared to the 11.9 their opponents make, shooting 36.6% from beyond the arc.

The Wizards rank 19th in the league averaging 111.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 24th, allowing 114.8 points per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Washington is scoring 1.6 more points per game at home (113.7) than away (112.1).

Celtics Key Players to Watch

The Celtics get 30.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 4.7 assists from Jayson Tatum.

Marcus Smart contributes with 3.2 boards and 6.4 assists per game in addition to his 11.4 PPG scoring average.

Tatum makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Celtics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.2 per contest.

Smart averages 1.5 steals per game, while Derrick White swats 0.9 shots per contest.

Wizards Key Players to Watch

Kristaps Porzingis holds the top Wizards spot in two categories among active players: scoring (23 points per game) and rebounding (8.3 rebounds per game). He also dishes out 2.6 assists per contest.

The Wizards have gotten 10.2 points, 5.2 assists and 3.4 rebounds out of Monte Morris this season.

Corey Kispert hits two threes per game.

The Wizards’ defensive effort gets a lift from Delon Wright’s 1.8 steals and Porzingis’ 1.5 blocks per game.

• Pick ATS: Wizards (+ 11)
• Pick OU:

  Over (222.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Celtics 117 – Wizards 112