Celtics vs. Heat Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Boston Celtics (40-12) will attempt to continue a three-game winning streak when they visit the Miami Heat (28-24) on Sunday, February 11, 2024 at FTX Arena as 5.5-point favorites. The game airs at 2:00 PM ET on ABC. The point total is 226 in the matchup.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds

How to Bet on Celtics vs. Heat

Game Time and Information

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Heat?

Celtics and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, the Celtics are 19-18-1 against the spread.

In games this year in which they were an underdog by 5.5 points or more, the Heat have a 5-5 record against the spread.

The Celtics and the Heat combine to average 5.1 more points per game than the over/under of 226 set for this matchup.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 221.9 points per game, 4.1 fewer than the point total in this game.

The average point total in Celtics games this season is 5.8 more points than the over/under of 226 in this matchup.

The average over/under for Miami’s games this year is 4.8 fewer points than the point total of 226 in this outing.

Boston is 24-26-2 ATS this season.

The Heat have gone 23-27-2 ATS this season.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics average 120.6 points per game (fourth in the league) while allowing 111.1 per outing (seventh in the NBA). They have a +494 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 9.5 points per game.

The 47.5 rebounds per game the Celtics average rank first in the NBA, and are 3.2 more than the 44.3 their opponents record per contest.

Boston knocks down 16.2 three-pointers per game (first in the league) at a 37.7% rate (seventh-best in the NBA), compared to the 13.3 per game its opponents make at a 35% rate.

The Celtics score 122.1 points per 100 possessions (first in the league), while allowing 112.5 points per 100 possessions (third in the NBA).

So far in 2023-24, the Celtics’ offense has been better at home, where they score 122.1 points per game, compared to road games, where they score 119 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been tougher in home games, where they concede 109.7 points per game, versus road games, where they let their opponents to average 112.8 per game.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat put up 110.5 points per game (27th in league) while allowing 110.8 per contest (fourth in NBA). They have a -16 scoring differential.

The 42.1 rebounds per game Miami accumulates rank 23rd in the NBA. Their opponents record 43.

The Heat knock down 1.2 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 12.3 (17th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.5.

The Heat’s 114.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 22nd in the NBA, and the 115 points they allow per 100 possessions rank ninth in the league.

In 2023-24 Miami is scoring 5.9 more points per game at home (113.3) than away (107.4).

Celtics Key Players to Watch

The Celtics get 27.0 points, 8.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists from Jayson Tatum.

Derrick White contributes with 4.0 boards and 4.8 assists per game in addition to his 15.5 PPG scoring average.

The Celtics get 3.1 three-pointers per game out of Tatum.

Jaylen Brown averages 1.1 steals per game, while Kristaps Porzingis swats 1.9 shots per contest.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Bam Adebayo is at the top of the Heat scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 20.2 points per game and 10.5 rebounds per game to go with 4.0 assists per contest this season.

Terry Rozier has per-game averages of 23.2 points, 6.6 assists and 3.9 rebounds this season.

Duncan Robinson hits 2.7 threes per game.

The Heat’s defensive effort gets a boost from Jaime Jaquez Jr.’s 1.1 steals and Adebayo’s 1.0 block per game.

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